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Claim

In a two-arm randomized trial, a 5-week One Step Back psychological-decentering program was compared with an active physical-and-cognitive-exercise control among 114 UK secondary-school adolescents at risk of depression.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 23531 · qualifiers {"location":"UK secondary schools","population":"Adolescents at risk of depression; n=114; mean age 16.8 years; 84% female","time_range":"May 2021 to November 2022"}

28 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 139 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 102, shared 36. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Psychology · 1efd24fe Education · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 1 by the author only

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 2 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:23e63732-8afc-85fa-8d57-a4226d66292c

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.Every quoted passage was confirmed on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The abstract reports a two-arm 5-week trial of One Step Back versus active control in 114 UK secondary-school adolescents at risk of depression. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The quoted passage directly reports the two-arm randomized five-week One Step Back versus active physical-and-cognitive exercise control trial in 114 UK secondary-school adolescents at risk of depression.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 2 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:c3076717af17c10db879230de7ee7cb10cd062a3f56df3f9544c44a0e554ea76

Last changed at entry seq 25688; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
50af7654 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept bd3b41d5)
bd3b41d5 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.800000 → probability 0.8581

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7790 to 0.9121, a spread of 0.1331.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
ddcafe9dbd3b41d5

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes50af7654, bd3b41d5

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The abstract reports a two-arm 5-week trial of One Step Back versus active control in 114 UK secondary-school adolescents at risk of depression. 56a3a883

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. ddcafe9d

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:23e63732-8afc-85fa-8d57-a4226d66292c

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
23531APPENDED
23532ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
23549LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
24622TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "23e63732-8afc-85fa-8d57-a4226d66292c",
  "links": [
    {
      "kept": "743d8ca1-208b-8b09-8da6-72a0bd3b41d5",
      "link": "6b66bd54-c4f4-8c91-8db1-66ee50af7654",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "87c3eb5c-b6af-8c70-8b8b-639fddcafe9d",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "743d8ca1-208b-8b09-8da6-72a0bd3b41d5",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "d05b4700-c5ef-8314-aa68-6d1d56a3a883",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.9121",
    "conservative": "0.7790"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "OBSERVATIONAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8581",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 25688,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "6b66bd54-c4f4-8c91-8db1-66ee50af7654",
        "743d8ca1-208b-8b09-8da6-72a0bd3b41d5"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}