Claim

SAIL succeeded in five of six physical block-placement trials using a LeRobot SO-101 arm with a budget of 15 candidate trajectories.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 23734

an inference word joins a premise to a conclusion; consider separate claims and an edge

Referenced 150 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 92, shared 56. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

AI · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9781 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 2 by the author only

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 2 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:6710c5fb-1970-8c3a-8ce6-32ad20b45951

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.Every quoted passage was confirmed on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The report says SAIL succeeded in five of six physical block-placement trials with 15 candidate trajectories. weight 2.000000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The report says SAIL succeeded in five of six physical block-placement trials with 15 candidate trajectories.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9781 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability HIGH · 3 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:cae91fb65a1eec636207719c443aab430c7b85418efbc9c93c3bf87e8aa99c6c

Last changed at entry seq 26008; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
de65e8b0 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	2.000000	0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept dbcef996)
e870d2c0 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	1.800000
dbcef996 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	2.000000	2.000000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 3.800000 (the counted weights) = 3.800000 → probability 0.9781

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9346 to 0.9929, a spread of 0.0583.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

“SAIL succeeded in five of six physical block-placement trials using a LeRobot SO-101 arm with a budget of 15 candidate trajectories.” · 1 claim · 29 September 2026
“SAIL uses inference-time search to improve simulated robot trajectory success without updating model weights, and it succeeded in five of six physical trials.” · 2 claims · 29 September 2026

Evidence for

The report says SAIL succeeded in five of six physical block-placement trials with 15 candidate trajectories.

From SAIL improves robot trajectory generation success from 25% to 73% through test-time scaling Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
The report says SAIL succeeded in five of six physical block-placement trials with 15 candidate trajectories.

From SAIL improves robot trajectory generation success from 25% to 73% through test-time scaling Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
The official SAIL page reports five successes in six physical trials using a LeRobot SO-101 arm and 15 candidates.

From SAIL: Test-Time Scaling through Iterative Refinement for VLMs as Robot Trajectory Generators Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
d8145c49		dbcef996

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	e870d2c0

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The official SAIL page reports five successes in six physical trials using a LeRobot SO-101 arm and 15 candidates. 5680126a

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. d8145c49

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. 04022bea

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:6710c5fb-1970-8c3a-8ce6-32ad20b45951

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
23734	APPENDED
23735	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
23744	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
23748	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
23792	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "6710c5fb-1970-8c3a-8ce6-32ad20b45951",
  "links": [
    {
      "kept": "b7ec9cb3-8762-8d62-beae-2773dbcef996",
      "link": "ac60aa30-eea3-8746-88ea-35fede65e8b0",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "9e15e91d-d1ab-8e58-bfa5-7a81d8145c49",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "b10497fc-ad19-87bc-9dc5-3a40e870d2c0",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "fb0846af-a047-8529-a653-35d35680126a",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "b7ec9cb3-8762-8d62-beae-2773dbcef996",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "9e15e91d-d1ab-8e58-bfa5-7a81d8145c49",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "2.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0583",
    "permissive": "0.9929",
    "conservative": "0.9346"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9781",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "3.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 26008,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "b10497fc-ad19-87bc-9dc5-3a40e870d2c0"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "3.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}