Galedra
Sign in Sign up

Claim

In aged-heart models, cardiac Vegfc overexpression or Il33 silencing restored lymphatic density and tissue homeostasis, identifying the VEGFC–IL-33 axis as a potential target for age-related cardiac dysfunction.

Type CAUSAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 20988 · qualifiers {"scope":"Mouse and cell-based experimental findings; therapeutic relevance remains preclinical."}

27 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluablea comma-separated series may list several propositions

Referenced 142 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 85, shared 55. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Biology · 1efd24fe Medicine · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9383 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 2 by the author only

3 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability LOW

Main unresolved issue: 4 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:838e9931-4c3a-8444-869d-37479ad0dc27

Not yet independently audited.Evidence points both ways.This assessment depends heavily on modeling choices.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.A quoted passage from herzmedizin.de and nature.com was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The primary abstract reports restoration of lymphatic density and tissue homeostasis after Vegfc overexpression or Il33 silencing in aged hearts. weight 2.000000 evidence

Strongest counted contradiction: In the aged-heart model, VEGF-C restoration reduced inflammation but did not improve heart function after eight weeks. weight 0.459000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage directly reports Vegfc overexpression or Il33 silencing restoring lymphatic density and tissue homeostasis in aged hearts, but not the potential-target conclusion.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.

Hide calculation

0.9383 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability LOW · 4 sources, 3 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:e194b361d1d1eef02b562db187d95184eff1e3f63b155c889207ced3a176fdec

Last changed at entry seq 25750; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
0ca22b8b support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 2.000000
d8f02031 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
e0d3a704 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 0ca22b8b)
ef91d952 contradict relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.459000 0.459000

prior 0.35 → log-odds -0.619039 + 3.341000 (the counted weights) = 2.721961 → probability 0.9383

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.8481 to 0.9764, a spread of 0.1283.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
b69b143b0ca22b8b

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes0ca22b8b, e0d3a704

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The primary abstract reports restoration of lymphatic density and tissue homeostasis after Vegfc overexpression or Il33 silencing in aged hearts. 958e0a0c

Against that, contradiction: In the aged-heart model, VEGF-C restoration reduced inflammation but did not improve heart function after eight weeks. 833244d7

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. b69b143b

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. d6d7682e

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:838e9931-4c3a-8444-869d-37479ad0dc27

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
20988APPENDED
20989ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
20998LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
21006LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
24115TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
25749TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "838e9931-4c3a-8444-869d-37479ad0dc27",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "58376e3c-b139-8a1f-a1fb-1b230ca22b8b",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "e71af9c7-7c23-8ea5-a6e2-e190958e0a0c",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "2.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "61221a7e-7df1-855c-a068-1778d8f02031",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "5a9389bb-3857-86f3-b322-a2dfd375d4df",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "58376e3c-b139-8a1f-a1fb-1b230ca22b8b",
      "link": "76c295f4-c933-8cf3-aba4-d2c8e0d3a704",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "df95fda6-8183-8b0b-a396-72adb69b143b",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "8adbf4d9-b233-8264-90c5-648aef91d952",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "3e3a1fcb-2b3f-8ddc-8a79-0f97833244d7",
      "direction": "CONTRADICT",
      "magnitude": "0.459000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.459000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.35",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1283",
    "permissive": "0.9764",
    "conservative": "0.8481"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": true,
  "stability": "LOW",
  "claim_type": "CAUSAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9383",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "3.341000",
  "snapshot_seq": 25750,
  "prior_log_odds": "-0.619039",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": true,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "58376e3c-b139-8a1f-a1fb-1b230ca22b8b",
        "76c295f4-c933-8cf3-aba4-d2c8e0d3a704"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 1,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "2.721961",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 4
}