Claim

Model ledger-default@0.1.0 ledger-strict@0.1.0 ledger-default@0.2.0 ledger-strict@0.2.0 ledger-default@0.3.0 (default) ledger-strict@0.3.0 Snapshot seq

Topics

Technology · 1efd24fe Astronomy and space · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Why?

Strongest counted support: The abstract directly reports 223 analytically feasible cases, 197 numerically accepted cases, and an 88.3% conditional acceptance rate out of 294. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The abstract directly reports 223 feasible cases, 197 numerically accepted cases, and an 88.3% conditional acceptance rate among 294 cases.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

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Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

• “In a 2026 Scientific Reports lunar-construction logistics model, 223 of 294 structured cases were analytically feasible and 197 met numerical acceptance...” · 1 claim · 29 September 2026

Evidence for

• The abstract directly reports 223 analytically feasible cases, 197 numerically accepted cases, and an 88.3% conditional acceptance rate out of 294.

  From A reliability-aware framework for campaign-scale lunar construction logistics with space-elevator transshipment Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

• The abstract directly reports 223 feasible cases, 197 numerically accepted cases, and an 88.3% conditional acceptance rate among 294 cases.

  From A reliability-aware framework for campaign-scale lunar construction logistics with space-elevator transshipment Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

• The study uses a modeled three-node Earth–Apex–Moon framework comparing direct, elevator-transshipment, and hybrid logistics.

  From A reliability-aware framework for campaign-scale lunar construction logistics with space-elevator transshipment Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

  Identifies the model architecture and transport scenarios.

• The reported construction-time stress test targets 10^8 tonnes rather than an observed lunar construction campaign.

  From A reliability-aware framework for campaign-scale lunar construction logistics with space-elevator transshipment Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

  Adds the modeled stress-test target and non-empirical scope.

• The 88.3% figure is conditional on analytical feasibility among 294 structured cases.

  From A reliability-aware framework for campaign-scale lunar construction logistics with space-elevator transshipment Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

  Clarifies the conditional denominator behind 88.3%.

• Separate conditional design frequencies are based on 500 accepted Latin-hypercube campaigns.

  From A reliability-aware framework for campaign-scale lunar construction logistics with space-elevator transshipment Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

  Distinguishes the separate 500-campaign design-frequency denominator.

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
42cf75cc		6a1e5f6f

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

From	Relationship	To
e702ed88	NARROWS	96af3ed5

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	5fed6f32, fb586e4f, 6a1e5f6f, e88d3b26, 1c924a4c, b6e28ee4

Summary

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
21021	APPENDED
21022	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
21027	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
21029	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
25577	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)