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Claim

In a randomized trial of 649 school-age youth in 467 families experiencing parental divorce, the fully digital SES NXT intervention group missed 3.4 school days over 12 weeks versus 6.6 in a waitlist control group and had fewer partial absences.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 17707

40 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 91 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 66, shared 24. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Education · 1efd24fe Technology · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 1 by the author only

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:0693d143-1afe-8343-bca2-63139cf74d0a

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.A quoted passage from link.springer.com was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The randomized SES NXT group had approximately half as many full-day and partial absences as waitlist controls over 12 weeks. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The packet directly supports the randomized sample, 12-week full-day absence comparison, and fewer partial absences.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 3 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:8f5572420c0c575ea01f185273bdb547559bcfaaab7a4f3e64b61a474d7e51d2

Last changed at entry seq 25355; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
2f6acf67 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DATASET_RESULT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
10a20a4f qualify relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.540000 0.000000 (non directional)
569f0bb5 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DATASET_RESULT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 2f6acf67)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.800000 → probability 0.8581

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7790 to 0.9121, a spread of 0.1331.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
0a1645ce2f6acf67

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes2f6acf67, 10a20a4f, 569f0bb5

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The randomized SES NXT group had approximately half as many full-day and partial absences as waitlist controls over 12 weeks. c7d196b9

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 0a1645ce

Qualifier: The counted passage gives the family/youth sample, age range, randomization, intervention/control labels, and 12-week outcomes, but omits parental-divorce context and the fully digital descriptor. 4500e4ae

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:0693d143-1afe-8343-bca2-63139cf74d0a

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
17707APPENDED
17708ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
17713LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
17737TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
25354TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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  "links": [
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      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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    {
      "link": "8b2daf48-f277-869d-a59c-d9f310a20a4f",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
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      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.540000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
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    {
      "kept": "2bb3a442-9ffe-81f1-aaee-b63c2f6acf67",
      "link": "a4242858-085e-854e-b00c-d79d569f0bb5",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
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      "evidence": "bdde4eaf-f8bb-8ae9-bada-9c220a1645ce",
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  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
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    "permissive": "0.9121",
    "conservative": "0.7790"
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  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8581",
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  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 25355,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
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    "opposing_search_done": {
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      ],
      "ok": true
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  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
}