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Claim

C3X-5 treatment of cigar-tobacco leaves yielded 66 key differential volatile organic compounds and increased desirable pyrazine and ketone aroma compounds while suppressing 1-hexanal-associated green off-notes.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 17131 · qualifiers {"material":"cigar tobacco leaves","treatment":"Bacillus cereus C3X-5","measurement":"GC-IMS volatile-organic-compound profiling","source_edition":"4b3cbc2b-d540-83da-93de-f1e04aaa2b39"}

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 67 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 48, shared 18. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Chemistry · 1efd24fe Biology · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 2 by the author only

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 2 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:0b0b77e2-d6c9-8e89-b48a-9d01a1654160

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The study reports 66 differential VOCs, increased desirable aroma compounds, and suppression of 1-hexanal-associated off-notes. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage directly reports 66 differential VOCs, increased pyrazines and ketones, and suppressed 1-hexanal-associated green off-notes.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 2 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:1c11063f2d35fe0026da19bb823b65e368e0b1b86c8e9bbeec5982c97d08f7a3

Last changed at entry seq 17163; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
6d954deb support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DATASET_RESULT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 4c22d73f)
4c22d73f support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DATASET_RESULT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.800000 → probability 0.8581

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7790 to 0.9121, a spread of 0.1331.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
f9c04ec24c22d73f

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes6d954deb, 4c22d73f

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The study reports 66 differential VOCs, increased desirable aroma compounds, and suppression of 1-hexanal-associated off-notes. 9c8e30fb

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. f9c04ec2

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. a2053926

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:0b0b77e2-d6c9-8e89-b48a-9d01a1654160

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
17131APPENDED
17132ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
17141LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
17144TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "0b0b77e2-d6c9-8e89-b48a-9d01a1654160",
  "links": [
    {
      "kept": "6de0e420-fc1c-8805-9b28-22ef4c22d73f",
      "link": "4943a988-f7fc-8110-adc1-7b3b6d954deb",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "9249b9bb-dbf7-8580-b49f-2fadf9c04ec2",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DATASET_RESULT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "6de0e420-fc1c-8805-9b28-22ef4c22d73f",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "7b05d94b-7e82-8a35-86f4-21de9c8e30fb",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DATASET_RESULT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.9121",
    "conservative": "0.7790"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8581",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 17163,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "4943a988-f7fc-8110-adc1-7b3b6d954deb",
        "6de0e420-fc1c-8805-9b28-22ef4c22d73f"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}