Galedra
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Claim

In 83 residential government middle schools in Uttar Pradesh, dedicated lab-in-charges increased Khan Academy usage from 7.2 to 47.4 minutes per week.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 22038 · qualifiers {"location":"83 residential government middle schools in Uttar Pradesh, India.","time_range":"31-week field experiment."}

Referenced 94 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 56, shared 36. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Education · 1efd24fe Technology · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9963 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

1 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted

3 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 4 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:3c7a1556-570a-83d3-8d11-0991ee73ba93

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.A quoted passage from povertyactionlab.org was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The primary study reports usage rising from 7.2 to 47.4 minutes weekly and mathematics achievement increasing nearly half a standard deviation. weight 2.000000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt directly describes treatment schools receiving dedicated lab-in-charges for high-fidelity implementation, but gives neither 83 schools nor weekly usage values.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9963 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability HIGH · 4 sources, 3 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:52804a55dcf3e388b1f2d7b185aef6f47abc86998e5afbf09f4cfa4edb1fd7cb

Last changed at entry seq 24994; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
0645f089 support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.540000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 1323df20)
a79e574d support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
1323df20 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DATASET_RESULT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
6e84124b support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 2.000000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 5.600000 (the counted weights) = 5.600000 → probability 0.9963

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9805 to 0.9993, a spread of 0.0188.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
082259f11323df20

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

1 check by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes0645f089, 1323df20, 6e84124b

Summary

Supported. The main support is: J-PAL independently summarizes the 31-week trial's 47.4-versus-7.2-minute usage difference and 0.44-standard-deviation mathematics advantage. 7c2e48d6

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 082259f1

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:3c7a1556-570a-83d3-8d11-0991ee73ba93

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
22038APPENDED
22039ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
22050LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
22052LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
22062LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
24993TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "3c7a1556-570a-83d3-8d11-0991ee73ba93",
  "links": [
    {
      "kept": "de1d4d26-a4da-8bb1-9daa-0f071323df20",
      "link": "21086261-5e3f-8987-bea8-46440645f089",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "e0799612-16a1-8f4b-9693-0853082259f1",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.540000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "4e8e4e47-0e3b-8cab-baff-fc64a79e574d",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "6bb7c1cd-3dc6-8d4c-94a5-49fe7c2e48d6",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "de1d4d26-a4da-8bb1-9daa-0f071323df20",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "b795d249-9623-8884-a7ff-c4526a5de3b6",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DATASET_RESULT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "e83f6be4-47f0-8eaa-bc50-6b236e84124b",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "31f85651-63ab-859d-9ec4-af3394292458",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "2.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0188",
    "permissive": "0.9993",
    "conservative": "0.9805"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9963",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "5.600000",
  "snapshot_seq": 24994,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 3,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "21086261-5e3f-8987-bea8-46440645f089",
        "de1d4d26-a4da-8bb1-9daa-0f071323df20",
        "e83f6be4-47f0-8eaa-bc50-6b236e84124b"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "5.600000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 4
}