Claim

Salim Ismail and his co-authors argued in their 2023 book Exponential Organizations 2.0 that Coase's law was already breaking.

Type TEXTUAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 3355

Referenced 117 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 90, shared 25. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Business · 03192ed8

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:0ffad04b-5ac6-8438-98df-844d0c92ccae

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The authors' book chapter explicitly says Coase's law has been broken by technology. weight 1.800000 evidence

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 4 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:59b44a360d86b681c220b5d66b445234c0cbcb5c95dde4d6e28d69c1a62a4cc3

Last changed at entry seq 10813; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
e9ab3185 qualify	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000 (non directional)
a5502202 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000
71ed6227 support	relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation EYEWITNESS 0.4 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000
bb831d97 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.800000 → probability 0.8581

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7790 to 0.9121, a spread of 0.1331.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

“Salim Ismail and his co-authors argued in their 2023 book Exponential Organizations 2.0 that Coase's law was already breaking.” · 1 claim · 22 September 2026
“The Navier–Stokes proof was produced by roughly 10,000 OpenAI agents working for about 88 hours.” · 28 claims · 20 September 2026

Evidence for

Ismail says his 2023 book already argued Coase's law was breaking.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted

The speaker describing his own book.
The authors' book chapter explicitly says Coase's law has been broken by technology.

From The New Rules | Exponential Organizations Book 2.0 Read 2026-09-22 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
The transcription says that in their 2023 ExO 2.0 book they argued Coase’s law was breaking.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

The passage says 'we' wrote in the 2023 book Exo 2.0 that Coase's law was breaking, but names no Ismail or co-authors.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted

'KOS's law' is a transcription of 'Coase's law'; authors are unnamed.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	yes	9331ac48
opposing search done	yes	790a0961
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	bb831d97

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The authors' book chapter explicitly says Coase's law has been broken by technology. 78343fb4

Qualifier: The passage says 'we' wrote in the 2023 book Exo 2.0 that Coase's law was breaking, but names no Ismail or co-authors. f7b6dd91

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. 790a0961

Review checks: 3 of 4. coverage:0ffad04b-5ac6-8438-98df-844d0c92ccae

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
3355	APPENDED
3356	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
3517	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 03192ed8 (accepted)
5544	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 56fe4c61 (accepted)
6664	TASK_RESULT	by 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8298	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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