Galedra
Sign in Sign up

Claim

Given a prompt by Matt Shumer, GPT-6 Astra built a high-fidelity Unreal Engine model of Manhattan street by street over the course of a week.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 1263

Referenced 132 times: checked 3, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 94, shared 35. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

AI · 03192ed8 Software · 03192ed8

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9813 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

3 independent evidence lineages · review checks 3 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 6 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:2864a65e-77f3-8c9c-aeef-e3d6dfff58c9

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage from somethingbig.ai was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: Matt Shumer says Astra built a photorealistic 3D Manhattan in Unreal Engine from one prompt. weight 1.800000 evidence

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9813 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability HIGH · 7 sources, 3 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:1c3a02913b6054de9b2573ac63b50dd7e5c8f0e9d7c79bf376afa3ce1740f902

Last changed at entry seq 10606; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
629780da support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.080000 1.080000
093315ad support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
233e0d31 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (non directional)
1f9e65c4 support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.080000 1.080000
7983940c support relevance WEAK 0.2 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 2 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 2 0.700000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000
efb785aa qualify relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (non directional)
08bfc5ea qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (non directional)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 3.960000 (the counted weights) = 3.960000 → probability 0.9813

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9411 to 0.9942, a spread of 0.0531.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes0f41dbc3
opposing search doneyes12b1eb83
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes093315ad

Summary

Supported. The main support is: HTX reported that Astra built a virtual Manhattan in Unreal Engine street by street over a week from a single prompt. 6cea96b1

Qualifier: The passage matches Schumer prompting GPT Astra to build high-fidelity Manhattan street by street, but mentions no GPT-6, Unreal Engine, or week. d3bdf758

Qualifier: The transcription supports Matt Shumer prompting GPT Astra to build high-fidelity Manhattan street by street, but it does not mention Unreal Engine or a one-week duration. c3494dd1

Qualifier: Diamandis says Matt Schumer prompted GPT Astra to build a high-fidelity Manhattan, which it built street by street. 634c446e

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 12b1eb83

Review checks: 3 of 4. coverage:2864a65e-77f3-8c9c-aeef-e3d6dfff58c9

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
1263APPENDED
1264ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
1349LINK_EVIDENCEby 03192ed8 (accepted)
6576TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
7016TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8206TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
9190LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
9238LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
10605TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "2864a65e-77f3-8c9c-aeef-e3d6dfff58c9",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "1664dacd-049c-8a3f-92db-b952629780da",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "1702c640-25d7-8003-9e5b-ebff6cea96b1",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.080000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.080000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "2138a131-ee0a-8cd3-ac06-7bdf093315ad",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "a3c5ea3c-31d8-86c1-886f-7a2fd0159d82",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "26cb5972-0180-8dff-ada9-fba2233e0d31",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "7e6a9a58-d73c-8493-b750-8a9bd3bdf758",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "492eb954-e9de-8652-a5f9-0c011f9e65c4",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "44ea5263-00a1-8af7-a892-acd4233b686e",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.080000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.080000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "4ddb4b22-4e60-8d1b-8d2e-31e87983940c",
      "group": "d62f17be-c315-8a14-9bfc-f8a51a228a2f",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "473f31db-64ae-83f3-928d-4df111cc7e0a",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "WEAK",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "HEARSAY",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 2
    },
    {
      "link": "5610583f-a69e-849e-afd7-d4c0efb785aa",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "9354d94b-4aab-804c-a2cc-6d6fc3494dd1",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "f2e81a29-2ca6-82cd-bfc1-f0a308bfc5ea",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "93bebd3e-b2d6-81c5-99e7-28a7634c446e",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0531",
    "permissive": "0.9942",
    "conservative": "0.9411"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "OBSERVATIONAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9813",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "3.960000",
  "snapshot_seq": 10606,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 3,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.75",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0bc4a-a171-7a67-a3a1-8be50f41dbc3"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0bc4a-a158-78cd-842e-31d712b1eb83"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "2138a131-ee0a-8cd3-ac06-7bdf093315ad"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "3.960000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 6
}