Galedra
Sign in Sign up

Claim

Google DeepMind had an entire team devoted to physics-informed neural networks aimed at Navier-Stokes and had been publishing incremental results toward it.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 1945

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 121 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 118, shared 2. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

AI · 03192ed8 Mathematics · 03192ed8

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9236 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

3 independent evidence lineages · review checks 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 7 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:2c9999be-c174-8f03-8807-4d7a811d5576

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Related: NARROWS incoming: Supported

Why?

Strongest counted support: DeepMind's team used physics-informed neural networks to discover new families of unstable singularities across IPM, Boussinesq, and Navier-Stokes equations. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: Speaker says Google DeepMind purportedly had a team on physics-informed neural networks publishing incremental Navier-Stokes results.

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.

Hide calculation

0.9236 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 7 sources, 3 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:098f99b3d26e23b34147b86f3c9e0568cfcf41217f1f8aa607b6806cc98b7828

Last changed at entry seq 9290; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
4830d6f3 support relevance WEAK 0.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.153000 0.153000
88b46473 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
d2970ded qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (non directional)
6658517a support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept d7cd2e8a)
d7cd2e8a support relevance WEAK 0.2 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 2 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 2 0.700000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000
263dc451 support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.540000 0.540000
5d841cdb qualify relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.540000 0.000000 (non directional)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 2.493000 (the counted weights) = 2.493000 → probability 0.9236

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.8513 to 0.9623, a spread of 0.1110. The result sits on a rounding boundary.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
47db21b1d7cd2e8a

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

FromRelationshipTo
6fb48f33NARROWS811d5576

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes1dd610d7
opposing search doneyesfae6de0b
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes263dc451, 5d841cdb

Summary

Supported. The main support is: DeepMind-affiliated researchers published a sequence of singularity results, first stable then unstable singularities, toward Navier-Stokes understanding. b48ac393

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 47db21b1

Qualifier: The excerpt itself hedges with 'purportedly' and attributes the team claim to another speaker. 8f6715dd

Qualifier: The official post lists a large joint DeepMind and academic author group for the fluid-dynamics work. fc4284bf

A narrower version of this claim is supported. 6fb48f33

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. fae6de0b

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
1945APPENDED
1946ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
2115LINK_EVIDENCEby 03192ed8 (accepted)
3814TASK_RESULTby 03192ed8 (accepted)
6750TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
7184TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
9289TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "2c9999be-c174-8f03-8807-4d7a811d5576",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "3944b6ae-45f0-8bd6-b35e-55254830d6f3",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "f590f8bf-1b66-85d0-8b32-dcc2b48ac393",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.153000",
      "relevance": "WEAK",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.153000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "3a5ce1ae-b7df-8b7b-ac07-390688b46473",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "ec1ea30a-76b7-84fc-abeb-9b500d491528",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "50bf005d-7791-8f47-9d1e-4ab3d2970ded",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "1a4fce8c-6cef-8a8b-bee8-532c8f6715dd",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "9755ea8f-078c-8d1a-aee3-4064d7cd2e8a",
      "link": "6cb06c4d-3148-87d2-9304-95676658517a",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "ade41be5-289f-8504-9940-249647db21b1",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "HEARSAY",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "9755ea8f-078c-8d1a-aee3-4064d7cd2e8a",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "1db77e3c-e77a-8caf-a47a-94c1afa3c58d",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "WEAK",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "HEARSAY",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 2
    },
    {
      "link": "b9a10dbc-5a99-8e38-8078-d25a263dc451",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "c2897d14-2876-8458-bb20-ec1bad899dcd",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.540000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.540000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "e474879c-0208-8e90-b09c-77d15d841cdb",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "bd99ca92-b606-85c9-8090-f900fc4284bf",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.540000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1110",
    "permissive": "0.9623",
    "conservative": "0.8513"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "OBSERVATIONAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9236",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "2.493000",
  "snapshot_seq": 9290,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 3,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.75",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0bc50-b425-7e52-832a-dd851dd610d7"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0bc50-b416-7e6c-888c-9254fae6de0b"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "b9a10dbc-5a99-8e38-8078-d25a263dc451",
        "e474879c-0208-8e90-b09c-77d15d841cdb"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": true,
  "posterior_log_odds": "2.493000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 7
}