Claim

Revised

Superseded at seq 5467 by bhoult: Future Vision XPRIZE received more than 2,500 film trailers and treatments, narrowed them to 65 semifinalists and five finalists who will screen trailers at Moonshots LIVE. · reason: XPRIZE's September 21 announcement reports over 2,500 submitted trailers and treatments, 65 semifinalists, and five finalists; it does not substantiate 5,000 teams or 25 entries.. This entry stays in the log; the current claim is the revision.

Over 5,000 teams registered for the Future of Vision XPRIZE, which has been narrowed to 25 entries and will end with five finalists showing three-minute film trailers.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: SUPERSEDED · created seq 2625

27 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluablea comma-separated series may list several propositions

Referenced 146 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 4, viewed 105, shared 35. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Entertainment · 03192ed8

Assessment

Insufficient evidence

1 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted

0 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability n/a

Main unresolved issue: 1 counted evidence item has no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:2f721c40-f0f3-892a-af32-cca59a452a28

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Insufficient evidence to Supported.

Hide calculation

No probability. No counted evidence bears on this claim at this snapshot.

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:671b1a54ae78436c22151a193c7260275eaba103528acc4d96343c70d2f18f14

Last changed at entry seq 5468; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
a0a1ba31 qualify	relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.459000	0.000000 (non directional)
cf78ecb1 support	relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation EYEWITNESS 0.4 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000

prior — → log-odds —

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

“The Moonshots podcast publishes two episodes per week.” · 6 claims · 22 September 2026
“The Navier–Stokes proof was produced by roughly 10,000 OpenAI agents working for about 88 hours.” · 23 claims · 20 September 2026

Evidence for

Diamandis says over 5,000 teams registered and the field is narrowed to 25.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted

Stated by the XPRIZE founder, who says he is currently reviewing entries.

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

XPRIZE reports over 2,500 submissions, 65 semifinalists, and five finalists for Future Vision.

From Future Vision XPRIZE and Build with Gemini XPRIZE Name Top Five Finalists – Awarding $5M+ at Moonshots LIVE Read 2026-09-22 Relevance MODERATE Steps 1 Counted

Submission count is not registration count; organizer confirms five finalists but gives 2,500 submissions and 65 semifinalists.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	a0a1ba31

Summary

Insufficient evidence. No counted evidence bears on this claim yet. coverage:2f721c40-f0f3-892a-af32-cca59a452a28

Qualifier: XPRIZE reports over 2,500 submissions, 65 semifinalists, and five finalists for Future Vision. addcde90

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:2f721c40-f0f3-892a-af32-cca59a452a28

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
2625	APPENDED
2626	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
2727	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 03192ed8 (accepted)
5361	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 56fe4c61 (accepted)

Score trace

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  "claim": "2f721c40-f0f3-892a-af32-cca59a452a28",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "10f7fe1c-8d04-828b-a85d-cf13a0a1ba31",
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      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "5ebea8e2-a663-82a9-88bd-6c23addcde90",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.459000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "23817708-d900-8c79-afe3-44bdcf78ecb1",
      "group": "d62f17be-c315-8a14-9bfc-f8a51a228a2f",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "df7539a5-5ccd-8944-a1e0-55e38dddbadf",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "EYEWITNESS",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
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      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": null,
  "variants": null,
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": null,
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": null,
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": null,
  "snapshot_seq": 5468,
  "prior_log_odds": null,
  "support_groups": 0,
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  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "INSUFFICIENT_EVIDENCE",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
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      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": null,
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 1
}