Galedra
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Claim

One of the biggest risks over the next year is that people lose their sense of agency, and maintaining that sense is critical.

Type NORMATIVE · truth-evaluable: no (NORMATIVE_OR_VALUE) · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 1311

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 100 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 97, shared 2. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Society · 03192ed8 AI · 03192ed8

Assessment

Not assessed

2 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 1 by the author only

0 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability n/a

This is a value judgment; the system maps its premises but does not assign it a probability.

Main unresolved issue: 6 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:48fa4e43-51cc-8c1c-b9ba-3eb2d6253423

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Related: NARROWS incoming: Not assessed

Why?

Review gaps: opposing search done, independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

Hide calculation

No probability. This is a value judgment; the system maps its premises but does not assign it a probability.

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:f474ace780378e09c92c437017f3977b6d052a3b52d850e612ad4bb509f4cfca

Last changed at entry seq 11426; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
72f5326e qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 — (not applicable)
19d460f2 support relevance CONTEXT_ONLY 0.0 × observation EXPERT_ANALYSIS 0.3 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 — (not applicable)
201bbe38 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 — (not applicable)
9d4a1908 support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 — (not applicable)
0f39db27 support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation EXPERT_ANALYSIS 0.3 × interpretation 2 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 2 0.700000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.126000 — (not applicable)
89673540 support relevance WEAK 0.2 × observation EXPERT_ANALYSIS 0.3 × interpretation 3 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 3 0.550000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.033000 — (not applicable)

prior — → log-odds —

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

FromRelationshipTo
22c3e751NARROWSd6253423

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyesae567f90
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Not assessed. This is a value judgment; the system maps its premises but does not assign it a probability. coverage:48fa4e43-51cc-8c1c-b9ba-3eb2d6253423

A narrower version of this claim is not assessed. 22c3e751

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 1f5f9276

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:48fa4e43-51cc-8c1c-b9ba-3eb2d6253423

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
1311APPENDED
1312ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
1373LINK_EVIDENCEby 03192ed8 (accepted)
3694TASK_RESULTby 03192ed8 (accepted)
3950TASK_RESULTby 03192ed8 (accepted)
4045TASK_RESULTby 03192ed8 (accepted)
8962TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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  "claim": "48fa4e43-51cc-8c1c-b9ba-3eb2d6253423",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "0b75511f-7bc0-884d-abb4-6c2172f5326e",
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      "evidence": "67d350d8-fc3e-806c-b423-bad1edc14e3a",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
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      "source_type": "VIDEO",
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    },
    {
      "link": "2341f500-6426-8ef9-84af-83f519d460f2",
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      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "CONTEXT_ONLY",
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    {
      "link": "2b2982dc-32c9-83a7-9a74-ee24201bbe38",
      "group": null,
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    },
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      "link": "3bc36439-681e-85ab-bbd4-86199d4a1908",
      "group": null,
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      "evidence": "d8dad04c-075e-8b42-bd09-91be2427da83",
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      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
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    {
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      "group": null,
      "reason": "not_applicable",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "a82bb45f-d8b5-8859-a0c2-016e9faf81db",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.126000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "EXPERT_ANALYSIS",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
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      "interpretive_steps": 2
    },
    {
      "link": "c655879a-0cd0-83ef-a061-8f5d89673540",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "not_applicable",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "64517256-522f-809c-869e-76b4163d2246",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.033000",
      "relevance": "WEAK",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "EXPERT_ANALYSIS",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
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    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": null,
  "variants": null,
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": null,
  "claim_type": "NORMATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": null,
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": null,
  "snapshot_seq": 11426,
  "prior_log_odds": null,
  "support_groups": 0,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": false,
  "assessment_state": "NOT_APPLICABLE",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
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      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": null,
  "not_applicable_reason": "NORMATIVE_OR_VALUE",
  "independence_unreviewed": 6
}