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Claim

The Navier-Stokes problem is one of the Clay Millennium Prize problems.

Type DEFINITIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 1879

Referenced 149 times: checked 4, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 96, shared 49. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Mathematics · 03192ed8 Physics · 03192ed8

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9995 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

5 independent evidence lineages · review checks 3 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 8 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:5743f6be-f74c-8323-aa70-f58bafdef66b

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage from claymath.org was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: Clay’s official list of seven Millennium Prize Problems includes a section titled “Navier-Stokes Equation.” weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt directly identifies Navier-Stokes as one of the Clay Millennium Prize problems.; The speaker identifies Navier-Stokes as a Clay Millennium Prize problem.

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9995 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability HIGH · 8 sources, 5 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:d6c6372471f5d4b38af618da108ee275b7ffb036f70556026ec2b8b2ee72d49b

Last changed at entry seq 12698; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
6c919930 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept c3aef7bd)
e0ce7ebc support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.918000 0.918000
a1dcb527 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.530000 1.530000
b4314f9e support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
df8f4073 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
67af858a support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.530000 1.530000
d45cd647 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept c3aef7bd)
c3aef7bd support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 7.578000 (the counted weights) = 7.578000 → probability 0.9995

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9951 to 0.9999, a spread of 0.0048.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
1a16f618c3aef7bd
52313bdec3aef7bd

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyeseec6c00b
opposing search doneyesf6245862
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyese0ce7ebc, a1dcb527, b4314f9e, df8f4073

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The Clay Mathematics Institute describes the problem concerning the motion of fluids as a Millennium Problem. 8b563500

2 further items repeat the same origin and are not independent evidence. 1a16f61852313bde

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. f6245862

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. f6245862

Review checks: 3 of 4. coverage:5743f6be-f74c-8323-aa70-f58bafdef66b

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
1879APPENDED
1880ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
2079LINK_EVIDENCEby 03192ed8 (accepted)
4080LINK_EVIDENCEby 03192ed8 (accepted)
4845LINK_EVIDENCEby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
5183TASK_RESULTby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
7359TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8058TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
10379TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
12697LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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      "link": "f2f10b94-8a8e-811c-84ed-6924d45cd647",
      "group": null,
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  "contested": false,
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  "snapshot_seq": 12698,
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  "support_groups": 5,
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  "review_coverage": "0.75",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
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    "independence_reviewed": {
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  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "7.578000",
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}