Claim

The Build with Gemini XPRIZE asked teams worldwide to pick a problem affecting 100,000 people and build, from a clean sheet in under 90 days, the company with the greatest revenue.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 2613

31 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluablea comma-separated series may list several propositions

Referenced 174 times: checked 4, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 109, shared 61. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Business · 03192ed8 AI · 03192ed8

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9734 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

4 independent evidence lineages · review checks 3 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 8 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:64823d82-6593-8485-88ae-3b8cf56c7696

Not yet independently audited.Evidence points both ways.A quoted passage from go.xprize.org was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: XPRIZE confirms a worldwide 90-day competition for clean-sheet, revenue-generating AI businesses with more than 26,000 registrants; this source does not state the 100,000-people threshold. weight 1.800000 evidence

Strongest counted contradiction: The official rules evaluate submissions on three equally weighted criteria rather than awarding the company with the greatest revenue. weight 1.800000 evidence

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9734 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability HIGH · 9 sources, 4 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:f01c3f43a66360adeb27617b016a7146d32e616088c69192e904d3f08a8f1586

Last changed at entry seq 13088; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
7a1b7e6a support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	1.800000
3921c57e qualify	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000 (non directional)
297802b9 contradict	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	1.800000
248ab445 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000
06585372 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	1.800000
98ae6db9 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	1.800000
ba80137d qualify	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000 (non directional)
76a7b91f qualify	relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.540000	0.000000 (non directional)
dc568e95 support	relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation EYEWITNESS 0.4 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 3.600000 (the counted weights) = 3.600000 → probability 0.9734

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9255 to 0.9908, a spread of 0.0653.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

“The Build with Gemini XPRIZE asked teams worldwide to pick a problem affecting 100,000 people and build, from a clean sheet in under 90 days, the company...” · 1 claim · 28 September 2026
“The Build with Gemini XPRIZE asked teams worldwide to pick a problem affecting 100,000 people and build, from a clean sheet in under 90 days, the company...” · 1 claim · 22 September 2026
“The Build with Gemini XPRIZE asked teams worldwide to pick a problem affecting 100,000 people and build, from a clean sheet in under 90 days, the company...” · 1 claim · 22 September 2026
“The Navier–Stokes proof was produced by roughly 10,000 OpenAI agents working for about 88 hours.” · 23 claims · 20 September 2026

Evidence for

Diamandis states the Build with Gemini XPRIZE rules: 100,000 people, 90 days, greatest revenue.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted

Stated by the XPRIZE founder about his own competition.
The competition founder said entrants should solve a problem affecting at least 100,000 people and generate revenue.

From Anyone Can Build. The Question is What? Read 2026-09-22 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
XPRIZE says the challenge gave participants 90 days to launch a new revenue-generating AI business.

From Future Vision XPRIZE and Build with Gemini XPRIZE Name Top Five Finalists Read 2026-09-22 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
The excerpt directly states that teams worldwide were asked to pick a problem affecting 100,000 people, start from a clean sheet, build in under 90 days, and create the company with the greatest revenue.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted
XPRIZE confirms a worldwide 90-day competition for clean-sheet, revenue-generating AI businesses with more than 26,000 registrants; this source does not state the 100,000-people threshold.

From Future Vision XPRIZE and Build with Gemini XPRIZE Name Top Five Finalists Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Official XPRIZE source corroborates the competition structure while leaving the 100,000-person detail unverified here.

Evidence against

The official rules evaluate submissions on three equally weighted criteria rather than awarding the company with the greatest revenue.

From Official Rules — Build with Gemini XPRIZE Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Directly conflicts with the claim’s “company with the greatest revenue” characterization.

Qualifications

The passage matches the worldwide 100,000-people, clean-sheet, 90-day, greatest-revenue company challenge, but never names the Build with Gemini XPRIZE.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted

Challenge details verbatim; the XPRIZE name is absent.
The passage specifies a 100,000-person impact, under-90-day build, and greatest revenue, but no revenue measurement period or judging denominator.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted
The official rules require projects to be newly created after the submission period began, but do not state a clean-sheet 90-day rule as phrased.

From Official Rules — Build with Gemini XPRIZE Read 2026-09-28 Relevance MODERATE Steps 0 Counted

Supports new-project and approximate build-period elements but does not state the claimed 100,000-person requirement.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	yes	9c005d5c
opposing search done	yes	13d85b22
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	297802b9, 06585372, 98ae6db9, 76a7b91f

Summary

Supported. The main support is: XPRIZE confirms a worldwide 90-day competition for clean-sheet, revenue-generating AI businesses with more than 26,000 registrants; this source does not state the 100,000-people threshold. 9f77afaf

Against that, contradiction: The official rules evaluate submissions on three equally weighted criteria rather than awarding the company with the greatest revenue. 455fafee

Qualifier: The passage matches the worldwide 100,000-people, clean-sheet, 90-day, greatest-revenue company challenge, but never names the Build with Gemini XPRIZE. cdcccf27

Qualifier: The passage specifies a 100,000-person impact, under-90-day build, and greatest revenue, but no revenue measurement period or judging denominator. 552da5ce

Qualifier: The official rules require projects to be newly created after the submission period began, but do not state a clean-sheet 90-day rule as phrased. 7be37c62

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 13d85b22

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
2613	APPENDED
2614	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
2721	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 03192ed8 (accepted)
5434	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 56fe4c61 (accepted)
5443	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 56fe4c61 (accepted)
6656	TASK_RESULT	by 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8292	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
9044	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
10806	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
13087	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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