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Claim

In the same skin-infection model, a later neutrophil-recruitment phase depended on Toll-like receptor and CXCL2 signaling, marking a transition to canonical pathogen-driven innate immunity.

Type CAUSAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 20067 · qualifiers {"model":"Skin infection model involving pathogenic bacteria and fungi; the result is preclinical."}

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluablea comma-separated series may list several propositions

Referenced 127 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 83, shared 42. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Biology · 1efd24fe Medicine · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9335 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 2 by the author only

3 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability LOW

Main unresolved issue: 4 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:6b8e3e0f-ea33-85f1-8908-46836048f43b

Not yet independently audited.Evidence points both ways.This assessment depends heavily on modeling choices.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.Every quoted passage was confirmed on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The abstract directly reports the later TLR- and CXCL2-dependent phase. weight 2.000000 evidence

Strongest counted contradiction: The primary article reports a later Pseudomonas phase requiring both CXCL1 and CXCL2, while MyD88 dependence does not uniquely identify TLR signaling. weight 0.540000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt directly reports that the later neutrophil-recruitment phase is TLR- and CXCL2-dependent and marks transition to the canonical pathogen-driven response.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.

Hide calculation

0.9335 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability LOW · 4 sources, 3 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:7aa7361d7e76592effce4ac47a45bb6d9e4ce394ec1dead4813ede86c94edc86

Last changed at entry seq 25738; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
f06f5e1c support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 38873ea2)
de6378e6 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
38873ea2 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 2.000000
c6e9d711 contradict relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.540000 0.540000

prior 0.35 → log-odds -0.619039 + 3.260000 (the counted weights) = 2.640961 → probability 0.9335

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.8406 to 0.9739, a spread of 0.1333.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

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Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
457bd9b138873ea2

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyesf06f5e1c, 38873ea2, c6e9d711

Summary

Supported. The main support is: A Nature Immunology research briefing corroborates the sequential transition from adhesion/Piezo1-driven early defense to later Toll-like receptor dominance in a mouse skin-infection model. 3db611b3

Against that, contradiction: The primary article reports a later Pseudomonas phase requiring both CXCL1 and CXCL2, while MyD88 dependence does not uniquely identify TLR signaling. d76f76ed

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 457bd9b1

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. e7226885

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:6b8e3e0f-ea33-85f1-8908-46836048f43b

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
20067APPENDED
20068ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
20077LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
20093LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
24027TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
25737TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "6b8e3e0f-ea33-85f1-8908-46836048f43b",
  "links": [
    {
      "kept": "c7e44831-9770-8605-b57f-439f38873ea2",
      "link": "81c848d0-6084-85dc-b238-7362f06f5e1c",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "afa304a2-a077-89dd-85b3-b21e457bd9b1",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "b62cca86-15e3-8f61-a9d3-39a4de6378e6",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "0d8f4dbb-79b6-8e15-bf98-ea923db611b3",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "c7e44831-9770-8605-b57f-439f38873ea2",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "d0c3b0d5-1f46-8682-b492-35e762b81e58",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "2.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "d532c5ce-0097-8a96-a79e-7ac8c6e9d711",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "61bcb85d-cdac-8c71-a551-0a11d76f76ed",
      "direction": "CONTRADICT",
      "magnitude": "0.540000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.540000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.35",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1333",
    "permissive": "0.9739",
    "conservative": "0.8406"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": true,
  "stability": "LOW",
  "claim_type": "CAUSAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9335",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "3.260000",
  "snapshot_seq": 25738,
  "prior_log_odds": "-0.619039",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": true,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "81c848d0-6084-85dc-b238-7362f06f5e1c",
        "c7e44831-9770-8605-b57f-439f38873ea2",
        "d532c5ce-0097-8a96-a79e-7ac8c6e9d711"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 1,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "2.640961",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 4
}