Claim

The Moonshots podcast publishes two episodes per week.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 1044

Referenced 201 times: checked 3, looked up by assistants 2, viewed 136, shared 60. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Media · 03192ed8

Assessment

Contradicted

Score: 0.1728 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

4 independent evidence lineages · review checks 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 7 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:7344edbb-df82-893b-aa63-c40c36e14bc5

Not yet independently audited.Evidence points both ways.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: XPRIZE describes the Moonshots podcast as releasing updates twice per week. weight 1.800000 evidence

Strongest counted contradiction: The official podcast page describes Moonshots as weekly, not as publishing two episodes per week. weight 1.530000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt directly states that the show publishes twice a week.; We publish twice a week.

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Leans supported.

Hide calculation

0.1728 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Contradicted · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 7 sources, 4 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:7b67cc46c575715ecaffed3a546c6579ac2067f84830f4f790446186ad03314a

Last changed at entry seq 12285; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
777e0655 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000
971f51c9 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	1.800000
f6cd24d9 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 777e0655)
9cadca3c contradict	relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.918000	0.918000
37b3f095 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 777e0655)
e1ae3215 contradict	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.530000	1.530000
3d4cd160 contradict	relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.918000	0.918000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + -1.566000 (the counted weights) = -1.566000 → probability 0.1728

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.2505 to 0.1155, a spread of 0.1350.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

“The Moonshots podcast publishes two episodes per week.” · 1 claim · 28 September 2026
“The Moonshots podcast publishes two episodes per week.” · 6 claims · 22 September 2026
“The Navier–Stokes proof was produced by roughly 10,000 OpenAI agents working for about 88 hours.” · 7 claims · 20 September 2026

Evidence for

The host states that the show publishes twice a week.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted
XPRIZE describes the Moonshots podcast as releasing updates twice per week.

From Future Vision XPRIZE and Build with Gemini XPRIZE Name Top Five Finalists – Awarding $5M+ at Moonshots LIVE Read 2026-09-22 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
We publish twice a week.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted
The excerpt directly states that the show publishes twice a week.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted

Evidence against

The official podcast page describes Moonshots as weekly, not as publishing two episodes per week.

From Moonshots with Peter Diamandis Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted
The episode archive lists three episodes on September 22, 27, and 28, 2026, exceeding two in that seven-day span.

From Moonshots with Peter Diamandis podcast episode archive Read 2026-09-28 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted
The podcast's official page characterizes Moonshots as a weekly show, which weighs against the claim that it publishes two episodes per week.

From Moonshots with Peter Diamandis Read 2026-09-28 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted

Primary publisher description; directly addresses publication frequency.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
b994ae66		777e0655
8260f34a		777e0655

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

1 check by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	yes	c89d83d7
opposing search done	yes	95824c9d
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	971f51c9, 9cadca3c

Summary

Contradicted. The main support is: XPRIZE describes the Moonshots podcast as releasing updates twice per week. 47c2a8ad

Against that, contradiction: The podcast's official page characterizes Moonshots as a weekly show, which weighs against the claim that it publishes two episodes per week. dd226f5a

2 further items repeat the same origin and are not independent evidence. b994ae668260f34a

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 95824c9d

Review checks: 3 of 4. coverage:7344edbb-df82-893b-aa63-c40c36e14bc5

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
1044	APPENDED
1045	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
1078	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 03192ed8 (accepted)
5355	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 56fe4c61 (accepted)
7104	TASK_RESULT	by 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8338	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
10856	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
12284	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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