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Claim

GPT-6 Astra has won Pokemon, Portal and other visually intensive interactive games.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 2569

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 143 times: checked 3, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 100, shared 40. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

AI · 03192ed8 Entertainment · 03192ed8

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9813 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 2 counted

3 independent evidence lineages · review checks 2 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 8 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:8618cfaf-4db2-8181-8737-4aaab9765dc0

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage from tomshardware.com was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The Decoder reports GPT-6 Astra reached the Pokemon FireRed champion title and completed Portal and other games, with stated runtimes. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt says Astra won Pokemon, Portal, and other interactive visually intensive games.

Review gaps: independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9813 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 2 of 4 · stability HIGH · 8 sources, 3 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:2a915f2ff0c8de713fd6a29d8a31818e41b38445ab8c35a8b0585872389c6343

Last changed at entry seq 10431; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
e5f589bb qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (non directional)
a789afac support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
feab593c support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept d60d796d)
cc719acc qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (non directional)
d60d796d support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000
359b8c9e support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.080000 1.080000
876a5994 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (non directional)
6eb4dac0 support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.080000 1.080000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 3.960000 (the counted weights) = 3.960000 → probability 0.9813

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9411 to 0.9942, a spread of 0.0531.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

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Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
0eaca24cd60d796d

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 2 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes82e89b87
opposing search doneyes7daeefb2
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The Decoder reports GPT-6 Astra reached the Pokemon FireRed champion title and completed Portal and other games, with stated runtimes. 2699f6cf

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 0eaca24c

Qualifier: The passage says Astra won Pokemon, Portal and other interactive visually intensive games, but calls it 'Astra', not 'GPT-6 Astra'. 2a1319c4

Qualifier: Tom's Hardware reports GPT-6 Astra autonomously completed Portal, but this source does not establish Pokemon or other games in the broader claim. e9e3c2aa

Qualifier: The passage gives no game versions, task rules, opponent set, sample size, or win-rate baseline for these reported wins. 02eeb88a

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 7daeefb2

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
2569APPENDED
2570ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
2699LINK_EVIDENCEby 03192ed8 (accepted)
6494TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8086TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
8722TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
9388LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
9408LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
10430TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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