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Claim

OpenAI's chief scientist publicly asked the world to slow down AI development in the same week GPT-6 Astra shipped.

Type HISTORICAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 1040

Referenced 154 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 1, viewed 126, shared 25. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

AI · 03192ed8

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9986 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

7 independent evidence lineages · review checks 3 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 10 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:95a9a038-4caa-8083-91fd-7e63580606d2

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Related: NARROWS incoming: Supported

Why?

Strongest counted support: Pachocki calls for voluntary slowdowns pending shared safety standards. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt says OpenAI’s chief scientist asked the world to slow down at the same time.; Speaker says OpenAI's own chief scientist asked the world to slow down at the same time.

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9986 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability HIGH · 10 sources, 7 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:b61a09a609b990c0e5b0d5becf1c7f39ba561e5c36683669570a6b70bf47e037

Last changed at entry seq 10291; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
e06a8d98 support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.918000 0.918000
198c0aa9 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
352faee9 support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.459000 0.459000
da72852c support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.080000 1.080000
7c96fa36 support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000
b55b0baa support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.918000 0.918000
b315ea90 support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.459000 0.459000
5328236b support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.918000 0.918000
40d80327 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 7c96fa36)
232387c8 support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 7c96fa36)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 6.552000 (the counted weights) = 6.552000 → probability 0.9986

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9899 to 0.9998, a spread of 0.0099.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
8433d92f7c96fa36
1c305c727c96fa36

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

FromRelationshipTo
21fad0c1NARROWS580606d2

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyesa1f8114f
opposing search doneyes22b38224
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes198c0aa9, 352faee9, da72852c, b315ea90

Summary

Supported. The main support is: Pachocki publicly urged voluntary slowdowns in AI development until shared safety bars exist. a9974b4b

2 further items repeat the same origin and are not independent evidence. 8433d92f1c305c72

A narrower version of this claim is supported. 21fad0c1

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 22b38224

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 22b38224

Review checks: 3 of 4. coverage:95a9a038-4caa-8083-91fd-7e63580606d2

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
1040APPENDED
1041ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
1076LINK_EVIDENCEby 03192ed8 (accepted)
3981TASK_RESULTby 03192ed8 (accepted)
5297LINK_EVIDENCEby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
5299LINK_EVIDENCEby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
5301LINK_EVIDENCEby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
5303LINK_EVIDENCEby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
7314TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8012TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
10290TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
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    "permissive": "0.9998",
    "conservative": "0.9899"
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  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "HISTORICAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
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  "evidence_sum": "6.552000",
  "snapshot_seq": 10291,
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  "support_groups": 7,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.75",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
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    "independence_reviewed": {
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  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
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  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 10
}