Claim

Humans are no longer the smartest things on the planet.

Type INTERPRETIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 2357

Referenced 198 times: checked 7, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 103, shared 88. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

AI · 03192ed8 Society · 03192ed8

Assessment

Leans supported

Score: 0.7146 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 3 of 4 · stability LOW

Main unresolved issue: 12 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:9991e798-c8c1-8a69-87ec-3eb7f69a7d4e

Not yet independently audited.This assessment depends heavily on modeling choices.A quoted passage from arcprize.org and hai.stanford.edu was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: A peer-reviewed Nature Human Behaviour study found every tested LLM outperformed human neuroscience experts on BrainBench prediction. weight 0.459000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: A speaker says humans are clearly not the smartest things on the planet anymore.; The excerpt directly says humans are clearly no longer the smartest things on the planet.

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted.

Hide calculation

0.7146 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Leans supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability LOW · 12 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:5c7a922209447443b91fbf0099d00e64be96c6b06037583561b75f6b16e4e4a3

Last changed at entry seq 12088; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
58a8140a support	relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept dc4a274a)
1ce2fb55 qualify	relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.459000	0.000000 (non directional)
dc4a274a support	relevance WEAK 0.2 × observation EXPERT_ANALYSIS 0.3 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000
905dc02d qualify	relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.918000	0.000000 (non directional)
0226d3e7 support	relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.459000	0.459000
608f8ff0 support	relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.459000	0.459000
1b3be8fd qualify	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.530000	0.000000 (non directional)
ec415719 qualify	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.530000	0.000000 (non directional)
8b029cd4 qualify	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	0.000000 (non directional)
567cb5de support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept dc4a274a)
cb224a91 qualify	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000 (non directional)
fad2ef95 qualify	relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.918000	0.000000 (non directional)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 0.918000 (the counted weights) = 0.918000 → probability 0.7146

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.6553 to 0.7673, a spread of 0.1120.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

“Humans are no longer the smartest things on the planet.” · 1 claim · 28 September 2026
“Humans are no longer the smartest things on the planet.” · 1 claim · 28 September 2026
“Humans are no longer the smartest things on the planet.” · 1 claim · 28 September 2026
“Humans are no longer the smartest things on the planet.” · 1 claim · 28 September 2026
“Humans are no longer the smartest things on the planet.” · 1 claim · 28 September 2026
“Humans are no longer the smartest things on the planet.” · 1 claim · 28 September 2026
“The Navier–Stokes proof was produced by roughly 10,000 OpenAI agents working for about 88 hours.” · 32 claims · 20 September 2026

Evidence for

Mostaque says we are clearly not the smartest things on the planet any more.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance WEAK Steps 1 Counted
A speaker says humans are clearly not the smartest things on the planet anymore.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance MODERATE Steps 1 Counted

The passage states the claim almost verbatim. 'Clearly' stands in for the argument: no benchmark, test or measure of 'smartest' is given, and the passage names nothing that now surpasses humans.
The excerpt directly says humans are clearly no longer the smartest things on the planet.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted
ARC Prize reports Astra surpassed the human action-efficiency baseline on 96% of ARC-AGI-3 levels in its Provider Adapter harness.

From OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra on ARC-AGI-3 Read 2026-09-28 Relevance MODERATE Steps 1 Counted

Supports superiority on this benchmark measure only, not the unrestricted claim about all intelligence or the planet.
A peer-reviewed Nature Human Behaviour study found every tested LLM outperformed human neuroscience experts on BrainBench prediction.

From Large language models surpass human experts in predicting neuroscience results Read 2026-09-28 Relevance MODERATE Steps 1 Counted

Supports AI surpassing humans on a defined capability benchmark; it does not establish that AI is globally smarter than humans in every domain.

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

The statement defines neither the intelligence metric nor which entities are included in the comparison.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

The claim is a broad comparative assertion; its scope and meaning depend on an unstated definition of "smartest" and comparison population.
Stanford’s 2025 AI Index reports AI exceeding human experts on some short-horizon tasks while humans outperform AI on longer horizons, so comparisons are task- and time-dependent.

From Technical Performance — The 2025 AI Index Report Read 2026-09-28 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted

This directly qualifies the claim's unqualified global comparison: measured performance varies by task and time budget, with neither side dominating across the cited benchmarks.
Stanford’s AI Index reports that AI exceeds human ability in most benchmark task categories, while humans still outperform AI in some settings.

From 2025 AI Index Report, Chapter 2: Technical Performance Read 2026-09-28 Relevance MODERATE Steps 1 Counted

The report supports AI superiority in many benchmark categories but the claim's planetary-level ranking exceeds what benchmark results establish.
The AI Index reports that humans can still outperform AI when tasks run for 32 hours, despite AI leading in short two-hour settings.

From 2025 AI Index Report, Chapter 2: Technical Performance Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted

The cited long-horizon result directly shows humans outperforming AI in one evaluated setting.
Stanford reports superhuman benchmark performance alongside large failures on simple tasks, supporting a domain-specific rather than universal claim about AI intelligence.

From The 2026 AI Index Report — Technical Performance Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted

The source documents performance exceeding humans in some benchmarks but also human advantages and jagged capability, so it does not establish that humans are no longer the smartest things overall.
ARC Prize says Astra's benchmark advantage is bounded and does not represent the complexity of the real world.

From OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra on ARC-AGI-3 Read 2026-09-28 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted

This limits the inference from benchmark action efficiency to general intelligence.
Stanford’s 2026 AI Index documents AI surpassing human baselines on some structured benchmarks while remaining substantially weaker on analog-clock reading and real household tasks; this supports a claim of domain-specific superiority but qualifies the broad claim that humans are no longer the smartest overall.

From Technical Performance — The 2026 AI Index Report Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

The report explicitly presents uneven or 'jagged' capabilities rather than a single general ranking of intelligence.

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
2bffe76d		dc4a274a
2b7258f3		dc4a274a

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	yes	9b9defb4
opposing search done	yes	ab05fd7c
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	1ce2fb55, 0226d3e7, 1b3be8fd, ec415719, 8b029cd4

Summary

Leans supported. The main support is: A peer-reviewed Nature Human Behaviour study found every tested LLM outperformed human neuroscience experts on BrainBench prediction. 014d205f

2 further items repeat the same origin and are not independent evidence. 2bffe76d2b7258f3

Qualifier: Stanford’s AI Index reports that AI exceeds human ability in most benchmark task categories, while humans still outperform AI in some settings. 87367eb0

Qualifier: ARC Prize says Astra's benchmark advantage is bounded and does not represent the complexity of the real world. f43c13ae

Qualifier: The AI Index reports that humans can still outperform AI when tasks run for 32 hours, despite AI leading in short two-hour settings. afb2ba5f

Qualifier: Stanford reports superhuman benchmark performance alongside large failures on simple tasks, supporting a domain-specific rather than universal claim about AI intelligence. 6c3dc708

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
2357	APPENDED
2358	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
2491	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 03192ed8 (accepted)
3934	TASK_RESULT	by 03192ed8 (accepted)
8082	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
8720	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
9769	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
10070	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
10072	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
10147	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
10253	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
10260	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
10422	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
12087	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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