Claim

Model ledger-default@0.1.0 ledger-strict@0.1.0 ledger-default@0.2.0 ledger-strict@0.2.0 ledger-default@0.3.0 (default) ledger-strict@0.3.0 Snapshot seq

Topics

AI · 03192ed8

Assessment

Why?

Review gaps: opposing search done, independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

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Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

• “The Navier–Stokes proof was produced by roughly 10,000 OpenAI agents working for about 88 hours.” · 16 claims · 20 September 2026

Evidence for

• Mostaque says the next run is 400,000 Vera Rubin chips, an order of magnitude more compute.

  From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance CONTEXT_ONLY Steps 1 Counted

  A forward-looking assertion about an unannounced run.

• Speaker says the next run uses 400,000 Vera Rubin chips and an order of magnitude more compute.

  From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted

  Passage gives the chip count, the chip family and the order-of-magnitude figure, but names neither OpenAI as the operator nor GPT-6 Astra as the baseline being compared against.

• The excerpt says the next run will use 400,000 Vera Rubin chips and an order of magnitude more compute.

  From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

1 check by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	yes	cec55122
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	no

Summary

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
1703	APPENDED
1704	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
1787	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 03192ed8 (accepted)
3714	TASK_RESULT	by 03192ed8 (accepted)
8986	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
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      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
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      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
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      "evidence": "4065e911-9078-8da3-8dc1-806d3a75d0f4",
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      "group": null,
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      "observation": "EXPERT_ANALYSIS",
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  "prior": null,
  "variants": null,
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": null,
  "claim_type": "FORECAST",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": null,
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": null,
  "snapshot_seq": 11580,
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  "support_groups": 0,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": false,
  "assessment_state": "NOT_APPLICABLE",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
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      ],
      "ok": true
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    "opposing_search_done": {
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    "independence_reviewed": {
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    "primary_source_reviewed": {
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  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": null,
  "not_applicable_reason": "UNRESOLVED_FORECAST",
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
}