Claim

AI systems will observe every keystroke a user makes on their laptop.

Type FORECAST · truth-evaluable: no (UNRESOLVED_FORECAST) · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 1523

Referenced 87 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 84, shared 2. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

AI · 03192ed8 Security · 03192ed8

Assessment

Not assessed

2 of 4 review checks done · 2 counted

0 independent evidence lineages · review checks 2 of 4 · stability n/a

This is a forecast that has not resolved yet.

Main unresolved issue: 5 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:b427e9e5-091e-89c8-a09d-27a949635273

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Review gaps: independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

Hide calculation

No probability. This is a forecast that has not resolved yet.

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:8d71b012a51a3ff8327ef53de08047a00785b5bfb5f7bb023baf58c5bf6934f5

Last changed at entry seq 14646; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
002d2111 support	relevance CONTEXT_ONLY 0.0 × observation EXPERT_ANALYSIS 0.3 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	— (not applicable)
c821984b qualify	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	— (not applicable)
71cf01de support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	— (not applicable)
3fb9355f support	relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.540000	— (not applicable)
de71028c support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	— (not applicable)

prior — → log-odds —

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

“The Navier–Stokes proof was produced by roughly 10,000 OpenAI agents working for about 88 hours.” · 25 claims · 20 September 2026

Evidence for

Blundin says the systems are literally going to see every keystroke on your laptop.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance CONTEXT_ONLY Steps 1 Counted

A prediction by the speaker.
Speaker says the systems will literally see every keystroke on your laptop and watch every move.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted

Passage states the forecast in the same terms the claim uses.
The excerpt directly says AI systems will see every keystroke on a user's laptop and watch their every move.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted
An opt-in macOS AI feature already records typing and other interaction events to generate memory files.

From OpenAI ditches Recall-style screenshot surveillance for friendly keylogging Read 2026-09-28 Relevance MODERATE Steps 0 Counted

Supports the technological direction but not the universal scope: the reported feature is opt-in, platform-specific, and limited to allowed apps.

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

The passage says 'they' will see every keystroke on 'your laptop', naming no system, user group or date.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Population and time-range qualifiers. The claim generalises to AI systems and users at large, but the evidence identifies neither: 'they' names no product or vendor, 'your laptop' addresses the people in the conversation rather than a defined population, and 'going to' fixes no date. Whether this would mean all users, users who opt in, or users of one agent product is left open, and those differ sharply.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 2 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	yes	6f624819
opposing search done	yes	c137f85c
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	no

Summary

Not assessed. This is a forecast that has not resolved yet. coverage:b427e9e5-091e-89c8-a09d-27a949635273

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. c137f85c

Review checks: 2 of 4. coverage:b427e9e5-091e-89c8-a09d-27a949635273

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
1523	APPENDED
1524	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
1631	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 03192ed8 (accepted)
3708	TASK_RESULT	by 03192ed8 (accepted)
3958	TASK_RESULT	by 03192ed8 (accepted)
8978	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
14645	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "b427e9e5-091e-89c8-a09d-27a949635273",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "1b62d015-3e84-8337-95ee-4688002d2111",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "not_applicable",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "98c15789-a096-8b30-8ed2-4aaf8e56a404",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "CONTEXT_ONLY",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "EXPERT_ANALYSIS",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": null,
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "c03df84f-851c-8cb8-b466-d9afc821984b",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "not_applicable",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "8da523ed-cf34-8e75-9076-f4ee71cba34d",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": null,
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "c319b264-ecf7-8652-93d4-a4f671cf01de",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "not_applicable",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "f15ed31c-f944-88ec-b41a-7a70b9b2d34e",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": null,
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "c6de8c9c-4a05-8d19-a184-ab1f3fb9355f",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "not_applicable",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "f92d986d-309e-8228-afbf-3066dad99aa7",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.540000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": null,
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "cb8e1ded-71a9-8c42-a0d7-6bdade71028c",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "not_applicable",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "30d31861-ade0-8f9d-8bf2-f8d9c8bcabf7",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": null,
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": null,
  "variants": null,
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": null,
  "claim_type": "FORECAST",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": null,
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": null,
  "snapshot_seq": 14646,
  "prior_log_odds": null,
  "support_groups": 0,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.50",
  "truth_evaluable": false,
  "assessment_state": "NOT_APPLICABLE",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0bc4c-8376-7b7d-a87f-a3da6f624819"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0bc4c-836d-7821-b0a4-0f3cc137f85c"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": null,
  "not_applicable_reason": "UNRESOLVED_FORECAST",
  "independence_unreviewed": 5
}