Galedra
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Claim

People should have more children, and building fully integrated childcare that lowers the cost of raising them is the single biggest thing anyone could do for humanity.

Type NORMATIVE · truth-evaluable: no (NORMATIVE_OR_VALUE) · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 3631

27 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 105 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 102, shared 2. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Society · 03192ed8 Policy · 03192ed8

Assessment

Not assessed

1 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted

0 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability n/a

This is a value judgment; the system maps its premises but does not assign it a probability.

Main unresolved issue: 4 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:c55ef6fa-361f-8403-9414-51a9f2667c33

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Related: NARROWS incoming: Not assessed

Why?

Review gaps: opposing search done, independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

Hide calculation

No probability. This is a value judgment; the system maps its premises but does not assign it a probability.

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:f8a7cbcd9fbcc930c28f3accadb4beb197d8e7e77a21b1b02b824eb8e7491e4a

Last changed at entry seq 14642; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
7ca7ac27 support relevance CONTEXT_ONLY 0.0 × observation EXPERT_ANALYSIS 0.3 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 — (not applicable)
977e5425 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 — (not applicable)
52b8a4aa support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 — (not applicable)
dea5ca2c support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 — (not applicable)

prior — → log-odds —

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

FromRelationshipTo
a2998d3cNARROWSf2667c33

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

1 check by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes5cff3191
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Not assessed. This is a value judgment; the system maps its premises but does not assign it a probability. coverage:c55ef6fa-361f-8403-9414-51a9f2667c33

A narrower version of this claim is not assessed. a2998d3c

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:c55ef6fa-361f-8403-9414-51a9f2667c33

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
3631APPENDED
3632ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
3675LINK_EVIDENCEby 03192ed8 (accepted)
3788TASK_RESULTby 03192ed8 (accepted)
10967TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
14641TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "c55ef6fa-361f-8403-9414-51a9f2667c33",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "0383d203-fd90-840b-9d50-68507ca7ac27",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "not_applicable",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "7e251089-e0b1-8231-9ecc-5be39e3fe355",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "CONTEXT_ONLY",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "EXPERT_ANALYSIS",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": null,
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "ce8e00e0-e60c-8268-81e0-c5c7977e5425",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "not_applicable",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "872cd6f5-bed9-8d5c-a8d2-2e39d12cb54e",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": null,
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "e8d409fa-855d-8366-b62a-045d52b8a4aa",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "not_applicable",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "da890e12-4ddd-8871-8add-4099e1ee180c",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": null,
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "ecb2e732-c0ed-8e67-ad71-a194dea5ca2c",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "not_applicable",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "cdbb2f4d-9bde-86ae-8eb9-2200d09eb56e",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": null,
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": null,
  "variants": null,
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": null,
  "claim_type": "NORMATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": null,
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": null,
  "snapshot_seq": 14642,
  "prior_log_odds": null,
  "support_groups": 0,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": false,
  "assessment_state": "NOT_APPLICABLE",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0bc5f-2f66-7087-99c7-18335cff3191"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": null,
  "not_applicable_reason": "NORMATIVE_OR_VALUE",
  "independence_unreviewed": 4
}