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Claim

Star Trek's fictional chronology placed the Eugenics Wars in the 1990s.

Type TEXTUAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 1129

Referenced 139 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 108, shared 29. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Entertainment · 03192ed8

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9910 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 2 counted

4 independent evidence lineages · review checks 2 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 7 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:cbaa0666-0806-8b44-b4d6-c42bf792fd70

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: An official StarTrek.com recap states the relevant Eugenics-era timeline events were supposed to happen in 1992. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt says the Eugenics Wars were supposed to occur in the 1990s.; A speaker says the Eugenics Wars were supposed to happen in the 1990s and did not.

Review gaps: independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9910 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 2 of 4 · stability HIGH · 7 sources, 4 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:8579af6f38d342897ccf0558f67de95d172502ddafb885ad60fc4ff24f94761a

Last changed at entry seq 10301; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
8d02137a support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000
18d3281e support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.530000 1.530000
41877a44 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 8d02137a)
5b9222df support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 8d02137a)
8459b7ec support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.918000 0.918000
2a415246 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
0f9b8b20 support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.459000 0.459000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 4.707000 (the counted weights) = 4.707000 → probability 0.9910

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9643 to 0.9978, a spread of 0.0335. The result sits on a rounding boundary.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
c6cd874f8d02137a
b089f54f8d02137a

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 2 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes2ddd9ea5
opposing search doneyesb330c936
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Supported. The main support is: TOS 'Space Seed' placed Khan's rule and the Eugenics Wars in the 1990s. 309a5b5d

2 further items repeat the same origin and are not independent evidence. c6cd874fb089f54f

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. b330c936

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. b330c936

Review checks: 2 of 4. coverage:cbaa0666-0806-8b44-b4d6-c42bf792fd70

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
1129APPENDED
1130ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
1205LINK_EVIDENCEby 03192ed8 (accepted)
3944TASK_RESULTby 03192ed8 (accepted)
4161LINK_EVIDENCEby 03192ed8 (accepted)
7322TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8022TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
10300TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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      "interpretive_steps": 0
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    {
      "link": "f3cef5b8-dec7-88e7-b183-cca00f9b8b20",
      "group": null,
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  "variants": {
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  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "TEXTUAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
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  "truth_evaluable": true,
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  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": true,
  "posterior_log_odds": "4.707000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 7
}