Claim

Model ledger-default@0.1.0 ledger-strict@0.1.0 ledger-default@0.2.0 ledger-strict@0.2.0 ledger-default@0.3.0 (default) ledger-strict@0.3.0 Snapshot seq

Topics

AI · 03192ed8 Mathematics · 03192ed8

Assessment

Why?

Strongest counted support: The report says an internal model raised its solve rate on curated open math problems from about 10–15% to 25–45%. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: Speaker cites a chart showing it doubles the solving rate on open mathematics.; The excerpt says a chart shows the model doubles the solving rate on open mathematics problems.

Review gaps: independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

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Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

• “OpenAI's new mathematics model doubles the solving rate on open mathematics problems.” · 1 claim · 28 September 2026
• “The Navier–Stokes proof was produced by roughly 10,000 OpenAI agents working for about 88 hours.” · 34 claims · 20 September 2026

Evidence for

• Mostaque cites a chart showing the model doubles the solving rate on open maths problems.

  From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance WEAK Steps 2 Counted

  The chart is not shown or sourced on air, and the speaker flags the information as live.

• Speaker cites a chart showing it doubles the solving rate on open mathematics.

  From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance WEAK Steps 1 Counted

  Passage gives the doubling figure but names neither the model nor OpenAI, and states no baseline the rate is doubled against, which a QUANTITATIVE claim needs; the chart itself is not identified.

• The excerpt says a chart shows the model doubles the solving rate on open mathematics problems.

  From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted

• The report says an internal model raised its solve rate on curated open math problems from about 10–15% to 25–45%.

  From GPT-6 Astra: Is It Really AGI? Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

  The reported lower and upper ranges are at least roughly double the earlier range, directly bearing on the claim's comparison.

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

• The excerpt says the solving rate doubles but never states the baseline it doubles relative to.

  From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

  Baseline: 'doubles' has no stated comparison point in the excerpt.

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
d8e5279d		dede0e02
0d73d9dc		dede0e02

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 2 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	yes	6b11234f
opposing search done	yes	b5df8525
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	no

Summary

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
1925	APPENDED
1926	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
2105	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 03192ed8 (accepted)
3812	TASK_RESULT	by 03192ed8 (accepted)
6748	TASK_RESULT	by 8b5e81bf (accepted)
7894	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
9455	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)