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Claim

Alexander Wissner-Gross coined a term for the eleven companies at the heart of the innermost loop of the economy, which include the Microsoft and FAANG companies plus SpaceX, Tesla and Broadcom.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 2887

31 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluablea comma-separated series may list several propositions

Referenced 133 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 98, shared 33. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Business · 03192ed8 Culture · 03192ed8

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9381 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 2 counted

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 2 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 6 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:f4f3b73d-9593-8613-a670-67a41370d164

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: Wissner-Gross calls MAGNA MOBSTA the AI era’s innermost loop and names 11 companies closest to its recursive core. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt says Alex coined a term for eleven companies at the heart of the economy's innermost loop, but it does not identify those companies or establish the Microsoft, FAANG, SpaceX, Tesla, and Broadcom list.

Review gaps: independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.

Hide calculation

0.9381 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 2 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 6 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:d201b57cbd7d7a63e9a2a2b352973e57ac1fe6bd16b7f6a83d134c5002ce14ca

Last changed at entry seq 10484; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
fc905715 support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.918000 0.918000
91475b98 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (non directional)
81989d06 support relevance WEAK 0.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 40198849)
41006086 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
40198849 support relevance WEAK 0.2 × observation EYEWITNESS 0.4 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000
fc799b9b qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (non directional)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 2.718000 (the counted weights) = 2.718000 → probability 0.9381

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.8702 to 0.9716, a spread of 0.1014.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

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Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
676c82f940198849

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 2 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes524d0d58
opposing search doneyesc446a4db
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Supported. The main support is: Wissner-Gross's post names MAGNA MOBSTA as the AI era's Innermost Loop and lists eleven companies including Microsoft, FAANG members, SpaceX, Tesla, Broadcom, and OpenAI. abdad12a

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 676c82f9

Qualifier: The passage says Alex coined a term for the 11 companies at the economy's innermost loop, but names neither him fully nor the companies. ea1a195d

Qualifier: Diamandis says Alex coined a term for the eleven companies at the heart of the innermost loop. f6053705

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. c446a4db

Review checks: 2 of 4. coverage:f4f3b73d-9593-8613-a670-67a41370d164

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
2887APPENDED
2888ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
2993LINK_EVIDENCEby 03192ed8 (accepted)
6520TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
6960TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8114TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
9995LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
10483TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
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