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Claim

In an eight-week cluster-randomized trial of 277 Chinese third-grade students, digital game-based music learning improved musical knowledge and six motivation measures, while the group-by-time effect on aural skills was not statistically significant.

Type COMPARATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 16387

32 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluablea comma-separated series may list several propositions

Referenced 102 times: checked 3, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 64, shared 35. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Education · 1efd24fe Technology · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9925 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 2 by the author only

3 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 5 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:0ce957bd-6f7b-8be8-9883-474bcf565668

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.A quoted passage from link.springer.com and researchprofiles.ku.dk was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The trial reports significant knowledge and motivation gains but only a marginal aural-skills effect under the eight-week intervention. weight 2.000000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage directly reports the sample, intervention length, significant musical-knowledge and motivation gains, and marginal aural-skills effect.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9925 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability HIGH · 5 sources, 3 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:4cc21a8fc2dd7b25649f58446df02332dabceb380b27add96215777bd123a678

Last changed at entry seq 25776; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
b17c4d3b support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept a445e680)
82cf5835 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (non directional)
784402ce support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
a445e680 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 2.000000
b8954cb8 support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.080000 1.080000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 4.880000 (the counted weights) = 4.880000 → probability 0.9925

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9682 to 0.9982, a spread of 0.0300.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
f0615e40a445e680

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyesb17c4d3b, 82cf5835, 784402ce, a445e680

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The primary cluster-randomized trial directly reports the sample, eight-week intervention, gains in musical knowledge and motivation, and the weaker aural-skills result. e32ffd1e

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. f0615e40

Qualifier: The 277 participants were 9–10-year-olds from all six classes in one public primary school in Yanji City, limiting generalization beyond that setting. 9bb143d6

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. 4602cd01

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:0ce957bd-6f7b-8be8-9883-474bcf565668

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
16387APPENDED
16388ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
16393LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
16403TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
16449LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
17178LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
25775TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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  "claim": "0ce957bd-6f7b-8be8-9883-474bcf565668",
  "links": [
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      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
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    {
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      "group": null,
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      "evidence": "78e40cd8-6d37-80e9-ac65-f245e32ffd1e",
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      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
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      "group": null,
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      "evidence": "a3139c45-b186-879a-b016-a35aea0ca57c",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.080000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.080000",
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  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0300",
    "permissive": "0.9982",
    "conservative": "0.9682"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "COMPARATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9925",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "4.880000",
  "snapshot_seq": 25776,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 3,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
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      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
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      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
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      "ok": false
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    "primary_source_reviewed": {
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      "ok": true
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  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "4.880000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 5
}