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Claim

Pachocki wrote that AI is grown more than designed, produced by running an optimization step billions of times and then studied the way neuroscientists study a brain.

Type ATTRIBUTED_BELIEF · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 2249

27 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 117 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 86, shared 29. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

AI · 03192ed8 Neuroscience · 03192ed8

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:696e3c6e-ab4d-823b-a7a3-5238d581142d

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: Pachocki's essay states that AI is grown more than designed. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt directly states that AI is grown more than designed, by running an optimization step billions of times on a giant computer, and that the result is studied like a brain.

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 4 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:4e54d3275a71062d215a5648beba67757945be46f789765c0493831c158e93b2

Last changed at entry seq 10850; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
0bf11b48 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
67596553 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept cacf6ab2)
cacf6ab2 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000
8e2c437a support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.800000 → probability 0.8581

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7790 to 0.9121, a spread of 0.1331.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
86cb3011cacf6ab2

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

1 check by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes867d1ed9
opposing search doneyes14502295
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes0bf11b48

Summary

Supported. The main support is: Pachocki's essay states that AI is grown more than designed. 8d7e9ceb

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 86cb3011

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. 14502295

Review checks: 3 of 4. coverage:696e3c6e-ab4d-823b-a7a3-5238d581142d

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
2249APPENDED
2250ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
2433LINK_EVIDENCEby 03192ed8 (accepted)
4422LINK_EVIDENCEby 03192ed8 (accepted)
6966TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8326TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
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  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 10850,
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  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.75",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
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  "review_checklist": {
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    "opposing_search_done": {
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  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
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