Claim
Humans evolved over four billion years to do two things: survive and procreate.
Topics
Assessment
Contradicted
Main unresolved issue: 10 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:78bb0def-ce91-8156-bf33-b9be55fb51be
Not yet independently audited.Evidence points both ways.This assessment depends heavily on modeling choices.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.
Why?
Strongest counted support: Darwin describes survival and procreation as the differential outcomes that natural selection favors. weight 0.459000 evidence
Strongest counted contradiction: Smithsonian’s human-origins timeline places the human lineage at roughly six million years and Homo sapiens at roughly 300,000 years, contradicting a four-billion-year human evolution timeframe. weight 1.800000 evidence
Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt says humans evolved for four billion years to survive and procreate.; A speaker says humans evolved for four billion years to do two things, survive and procreate.
Review gaps: independence reviewed
What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Leans contradicted.
0.0640 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Contradicted · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability LOW · 10 sources, 4 independent lineages
How the number was reached
| Link | Working | Weight | Counted as |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74ca36de support | relevance WEAK 0.2 × observation EXPERT_ANALYSIS 0.3 × interpretation 2 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 2 0.700000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |
| a5d3db7d support | relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 74ca36de) |
| d01fa7e4 contradict | relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 1.800000 | 1.800000 |
| 1e20f5ec contradict | relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 1.800000 | 1.800000 |
| edb916b3 support | relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 0.459000 | 0.459000 |
| 963aeccf support | relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 74ca36de) |
| d9ecca59 qualify | relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 0.918000 | 0.000000 (non directional) |
| fdcdea50 support | relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 0.459000 | 0.459000 |
| b42e9022 qualify | relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 0.459000 | 0.000000 (non directional) |
| 025d116c qualify | relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 0.918000 | 0.000000 (non directional) |
prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + -2.682000 (the counted weights) = -2.682000 → probability 0.0640
Your view
Registered views
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Checked as part of
- “Humans evolved over four billion years to do two things: survive and procreate.” · 1 claim · 28 September 2026
- “Humans evolved over four billion years to do two things: survive and procreate.” · 1 claim · 28 September 2026
- “Humans evolved over four billion years to do two things: survive and procreate.” · 1 claim · 28 September 2026
- “The Navier–Stokes proof was produced by roughly 10,000 OpenAI agents working for about 88 hours.” · 32 claims · 20 September 2026
Evidence for
-
From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance WEAK Steps 2 Counted
A round figure used rhetorically; the human lineage is far younger than four billion years.
-
From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance MODERATE Steps 1 Counted
The passage states the claim almost word for word. It is offered as a rhetorical premise on the way to a contrast with AI, not as a biological finding, and cites nothing.
-
From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted
-
From The Origin of Species (1872), Chapter IV Read 2026-09-28 Relevance MODERATE Steps 1 Counted
Supports the survival-and-reproduction core of the claim, though it does not specifically quantify four billion years or reduce all human behavior to only two functions.
-
From The Origin of Species (1872), Chapter IV Read 2026-09-28 Relevance MODERATE Steps 1 Counted
Provides the evolutionary mechanism underlying the claim, with the same limitation that the claim’s human-specific and exhaustive wording is interpretive.
Evidence against
-
From The evolution of human cooperation Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
The source addresses human evolutionary history and identifies cooperation as an important adaptive feature beyond the claim's two-item reduction.
-
From An Evolutionary Timeline of Homo Sapiens Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
The source distinguishes the human lineage from the much older evolution of life on Earth; it directly rejects four billion years for human evolution.
Qualifications
-
From Natural Selection - Definition, Types, Examples, and How It Works Read 2026-09-22 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted
Textbook definition makes survival and reproduction the two selected outcomes.
-
From Natural Selection - Definition, Types, Examples, and How It Works Read 2026-09-22 Relevance MODERATE Steps 1 Counted
Surviving to reproduce is the operational definition of evolutionary success.
-
From 19.3 Adaptive Evolution Read 2026-09-28 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted
This supports survival and reproduction as components of selection but qualifies the claim's absolute wording and its reduction of human evolution to only two purposes.
Suppressed as dependent
| Evidence | Group | Kept instead |
|---|---|---|
| b5cec79b | 74ca36de | |
| 2f219e84 | 74ca36de |
Inferences
Concluded from
None.
Used as a premise in
None.
Threads
None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.
Claim edges
None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.
Review checklist
Review checks: 3 of 4
| Check | Done | By |
|---|---|---|
| qualifiers reviewed | yes | 2061597b |
| opposing search done | yes | 337357ca |
| independence reviewed | no | |
| primary source reviewed | yes | 1e20f5ec, edb916b3, fdcdea50, 025d116c |
Summary
Contradicted. The main support is: Darwin describes survival and procreation as the differential outcomes that natural selection favors. 8263eef2
Against that, contradiction: Smithsonian’s human-origins timeline places the human lineage at roughly six million years and Homo sapiens at roughly 300,000 years, contradicting a four-billion-year human evolution timeframe. 2fd1f128
2 further items repeat the same origin and are not independent evidence. b5cec79b2f219e84
Qualifier: Natural selection is differential survival and reproduction from differences in heritable traits. 6d26b079
Qualifier: Evolutionary winners are individuals that survive and reproduce, passing traits to offspring. 88056cfd
Qualifier: OpenStax describes natural selection as improving survival and reproductive success in environments, while emphasizing that evolution is constrained and does not produce perfect organisms. a15d7bdf
Contribution history
| seq | event | detail |
|---|---|---|
| 2301 | APPENDED | |
| 2302 | ACCEPT | AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION |
| 2463 | LINK_EVIDENCE | by 03192ed8 (accepted) |
| 3908 | TASK_RESULT | by 03192ed8 (accepted) |
| 7278 | TASK_RESULT | by 8b5e81bf (accepted) |
| 7974 | TASK_RESULT | by 1efd24fe (accepted) |
| 9725 | LINK_EVIDENCE | by 1efd24fe (accepted) |
| 9912 | LINK_EVIDENCE | by 1efd24fe (accepted) |
| 10199 | TASK_RESULT | by 1efd24fe (accepted) |
| 13811 | LINK_EVIDENCE | by 1efd24fe (accepted) |
Score trace
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"variants": {
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"review_coverage": "0.75",
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