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Claim

The ETUCARE study reported that emotional-regulation skills mediated the relationships between intervention assignment and both procrastination and study engagement.

Type INTERPRETIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 22695 · qualifiers {"time_range":"Eight-week online program."}

Referenced 104 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 70, shared 33. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Psychology · 1efd24fe Education · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 2 by the author only

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 1 of 4 · stability LOW

Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:8073fb83-a603-898f-be35-0385a1f43534

Not yet independently audited.This assessment depends heavily on modeling choices.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.Every quoted passage was confirmed on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The supplied passage directly reports mediation of both procrastination and study-engagement relationships by emotional-regulation skills. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The abstract reports increased engagement, decreased procrastination, and mediation by emotional-regulation skills.; The primary ETUCARE article reports that emotional-regulation skills mediated the relationships between intervention group assignment and both academic procrastination and study engagement.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability LOW · 3 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:2707d3a786646710e3f1cb238250413b3ede3f311846598297cfbe9b83450713

Last changed at entry seq 24610; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
9a30ec90 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MODEL_OUTPUT 0.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 2e54c3c4)
1ebddc34 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 2e54c3c4)
2e54c3c4 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.800000 → probability 0.8581

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7790 to 0.9121, a spread of 0.1331.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
cedff2f92e54c3c4
4db2a7292e54c3c4

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes9a30ec90, 1ebddc34, 2e54c3c4

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The supplied passage directly reports mediation of both procrastination and study-engagement relationships by emotional-regulation skills. 44b2655b

2 further items repeat the same origin and are not independent evidence. cedff2f94db2a729

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 3b276891

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:8073fb83-a603-898f-be35-0385a1f43534

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
22695APPENDED
22696ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
22707LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
22763TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
24366TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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  "claim": "8073fb83-a603-898f-be35-0385a1f43534",
  "links": [
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      "kept": "ed675602-4d33-8199-ac19-a47c2e54c3c4",
      "link": "271b23b3-d39d-8a2e-9b71-f97e9a30ec90",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "7edb4ccd-61d4-84b7-b934-8efbcedff2f9",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MODEL_OUTPUT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "ed675602-4d33-8199-ac19-a47c2e54c3c4",
      "link": "4a473eee-68bc-808b-872c-461d1ebddc34",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "876b68d9-0030-86f8-a1e7-989a4db2a729",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "ed675602-4d33-8199-ac19-a47c2e54c3c4",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "ac0a7b85-02ad-8ac3-87f1-2d0544b2655b",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.9121",
    "conservative": "0.7790"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "LOW",
  "claim_type": "INTERPRETIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8581",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 24610,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": true,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "271b23b3-d39d-8a2e-9b71-f97e9a30ec90",
        "4a473eee-68bc-808b-872c-461d1ebddc34",
        "ed675602-4d33-8199-ac19-a47c2e54c3c4"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
}