Claim

The Future of Vision XPRIZE judges include Neil deGrasse Tyson, Neal Stephenson, Rod Roddenberry and Mira Lane of Google.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 2629

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluablea comma-separated series may list several propositions

Referenced 140 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 1, viewed 103, shared 34. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Entertainment · 03192ed8 Science · 03192ed8

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:99fd0d38-2d36-80e6-bed3-16d151d60ee6

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: XPRIZE names Tyson, Stephenson, Roddenberry, and Mira Lane among the film judges. weight 1.800000 evidence

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 4 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:b7176b0af827e91d45c9b6b63aeb0ba8af1f5f6847be5d5be6f32fa359a56f03

Last changed at entry seq 10805; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
3ab6953d qualify	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000 (non directional)
1e35bec1 support	relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation EYEWITNESS 0.4 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000
44493517 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000
042e73f6 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.800000 → probability 0.8581

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7790 to 0.9121, a spread of 0.1331.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

“The Moonshots podcast publishes two episodes per week.” · 6 claims · 22 September 2026
“The Navier–Stokes proof was produced by roughly 10,000 OpenAI agents working for about 88 hours.” · 23 claims · 20 September 2026

Evidence for

Diamandis names Tyson, Stephenson, Roddenberry and Lane as judges.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted
XPRIZE names Tyson, Stephenson, Roddenberry, and Mira Lane among the film judges.

From Future Vision XPRIZE and Build with Gemini XPRIZE Name Top Five Finalists – Awarding $5M+ at Moonshots LIVE Read 2026-09-22 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
The transcription names Neil deGrasse Tyson, Neal Stephenson, Rod Roddenberry, and Mira Lane from Google as judges.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

The passage names the four judges including Mira Lane from Google, but never identifies the competition as the Future of Vision XPRIZE.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted

Names match with transcription variants; the XPRIZE name is absent.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	yes	96923f9a
opposing search done	yes	b2f78fb1
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	042e73f6

Summary

Supported. The main support is: XPRIZE names Tyson, Stephenson, Roddenberry, and Mira Lane among the film judges. a3fc1fd3

Qualifier: The passage names the four judges including Mira Lane from Google, but never identifies the competition as the Future of Vision XPRIZE. aa2414a5

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. b2f78fb1

Review checks: 3 of 4. coverage:99fd0d38-2d36-80e6-bed3-16d151d60ee6

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
2629	APPENDED
2630	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
2729	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 03192ed8 (accepted)
5363	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 56fe4c61 (accepted)
6658	TASK_RESULT	by 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8294	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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