Claim
OpenAI was targeting the Riemann hypothesis and P versus NP before switching its effort to Navier-Stokes.
a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluableTopics
Mathematics · 03192ed8 AI · 03192ed8
Assessment
Supported
Main unresolved issue: 8 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:bb0f652a-2ca9-8814-bb5d-195e5370ece0
Not yet independently audited.Evidence points both ways.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.
Why?
Strongest counted support: OpenAI's agents initially evaluated all six open Millennium Prize problems, including Riemann hypothesis and P vs NP, before focusing solely on Navier-Stokes. weight 1.800000 evidence
Strongest counted contradiction: The report quotes OpenAI describing substantial progress on another Millennium problem since completing Navier–Stokes. weight 1.080000 evidence
Suppressed as dependent: Speaker says they targeted Riemann and P versus NP before switching to Navier-Stokes.; The excerpt says OpenAI targeted Riemann and P versus NP before switching to Navier-Stokes.
Review gaps: independence reviewed
What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.
0.9477 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability HIGH · 8 sources, 5 independent lineages
How the number was reached
| Link | Working | Weight | Counted as |
|---|---|---|---|
| 207cb66a support | relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 1.800000 | 1.800000 |
| fbe8376a support | relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 0.918000 | 0.918000 |
| d9c13a6f support | relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 2d29ff41) |
| 1a9d4ab4 support | relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 1.800000 | 1.800000 |
| ac67c5b7 contradict | relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 1.080000 | 1.080000 |
| 2d29ff41 support | relevance WEAK 0.2 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 2 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 2 0.700000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |
| 3200def5 contradict | relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 0.540000 | 0.540000 |
| 28ab9ecd support | relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 2d29ff41) |
prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 2.898000 (the counted weights) = 2.898000 → probability 0.9477
Your view
Registered views
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Checked as part of
- “OpenAI was targeting the Riemann hypothesis and P versus NP before switching its effort to Navier-Stokes.” · 1 claim · 22 September 2026
- “The Navier–Stokes proof was produced by roughly 10,000 OpenAI agents working for about 88 hours.” · 34 claims · 20 September 2026
Evidence for
-
From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance WEAK Steps 2 Counted
Stated without source; the problem names are garbled in the recording.
-
From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance MODERATE Steps 1 Counted
Passage names both earlier targets and the switch; the subject is "they", identified as OpenAI by the surrounding section, and the problem names are mangled in transcription.
-
From On the Navier–Stokes Millennium Prize Problem Read 2026-09-22 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted
Riemann hypothesis and P versus NP are among the open Millennium Prize problems; source does not name them individually in this sentence.
-
From Navier-Stokes priority controversy Read 2026-09-22 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
-
From Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness Read 2026-09-22 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
-
From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted
Evidence against
-
From After Navier-Stokes, OpenAI Says It Has Made “Substantial Progress” On Another Millenium Prize Problem Read 2026-09-28 Relevance STRONG Steps 0 Counted
The quoted sequence says progress came since Navier–Stokes, not before switching from it; it also does not identify Riemann or P versus NP.
-
From After Navier-Stokes, OpenAI Says It Has Made “Substantial Progress” On Another Millenium Prize Problem Read 2026-09-28 Relevance MODERATE Steps 0 Counted
The source says the problem remained unnamed and speculation centered on Hodge, not Riemann or P versus NP.
Qualifications
None.
Suppressed as dependent
| Evidence | Group | Kept instead |
|---|---|---|
| 2667725f | 2d29ff41 | |
| 260053f6 | 2d29ff41 |
Inferences
Concluded from
None.
Used as a premise in
None.
Threads
None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.
Claim edges
| From | Relationship | To |
|---|---|---|
| ffb201ee | NARROWS | 5370ece0 |
Review checklist
Review checks: 3 of 4
| Check | Done | By |
|---|---|---|
| qualifiers reviewed | yes | b1277801 |
| opposing search done | yes | 0686e600 |
| independence reviewed | no | |
| primary source reviewed | yes | fbe8376a |
Summary
Supported. The main support is: OpenAI's agents initially evaluated all six open Millennium Prize problems, including Riemann hypothesis and P vs NP, before focusing solely on Navier-Stokes. 70f77202
Against that, contradiction: The report quotes OpenAI describing substantial progress on another Millennium problem since completing Navier–Stokes. f94d7b6a
2 further items repeat the same origin and are not independent evidence. 2667725f260053f6
A narrower version of this claim is leans supported. ffb201ee
A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 0686e600
A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 0686e600
Contribution history
| seq | event | detail |
|---|---|---|
| 1999 | APPENDED | |
| 2000 | ACCEPT | AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION |
| 2145 | LINK_EVIDENCE | by 03192ed8 (accepted) |
| 3820 | TASK_RESULT | by 03192ed8 (accepted) |
| 5526 | LINK_EVIDENCE | by 56fe4c61 (accepted) |
| 7190 | TASK_RESULT | by 8b5e81bf (accepted) |
| 7900 | TASK_RESULT | by 1efd24fe (accepted) |
| 9400 | TASK_RESULT | by 1efd24fe (accepted) |
Score trace
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