Galedra
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Claim

OpenAI's Navier-Stokes announcement carried a disclaimer that the team cannot rule out that other teams' work was incorporated into the training of the model used to solve the problem.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 1979

29 words; atomic claims are usually under 25

Referenced 238 times: checked 4, looked up by assistants 5, viewed 162, shared 67. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

AI · 03192ed8 Mathematics · 03192ed8

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9823 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

4 independent evidence lineages · review checks 3 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 9 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:c15d1a20-8195-848e-846d-a72f0491ac36

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Related: NARROWS incoming: Supported

Why?

Strongest counted support: BBC/Reuters quotes OpenAI saying it could not rule out de-identified product-use data helping improve its models. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt says OpenAI could not rule out other teams’ work being incorporated into the model’s training.; Wissner-Gross says OpenAI included a disclaimer about possible incorporation of other teams' work in model training.

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9823 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability HIGH · 9 sources, 4 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:fc7dd0d83d72a8c3a48f443d81b497f638288c8a719d82e0426259bdc86c066c

Last changed at entry seq 10384; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
dac98d27 support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.918000 0.918000
08167bc8 neutral relevance CONTEXT_ONLY 0.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (non directional)
58aa8971 neutral relevance CONTEXT_ONLY 0.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (non directional)
fa6bb8d7 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
6f5c15b8 support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000
3925e61a support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 2 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 2 0.700000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.378000 0.378000
482bb909 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 6f5c15b8)
0438985b support relevance WEAK 0.2 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 6f5c15b8)
fe995756 support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.918000 0.918000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 4.014000 (the counted weights) = 4.014000 → probability 0.9823

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9432 to 0.9946, a spread of 0.0514.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

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Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
1e8874fc6f5c15b8
5378af3f6f5c15b8

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

FromRelationshipTo
2785f850NARROWS0491ac36

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes6b96bfed
opposing search doneyes6f50db64
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes08167bc8, 58aa8971

Summary

Supported. The main support is: A September 8 account reproduces OpenAI's then-current disclaimer about de-identified product usage improving its models. ab532977

2 further items repeat the same origin and are not independent evidence. 1e8874fc5378af3f

A narrower version of this claim is supported. 2785f850

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 6f50db64

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 6f50db64

Review checks: 3 of 4. coverage:c15d1a20-8195-848e-846d-a72f0491ac36

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
1979APPENDED
1980ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
2135LINK_EVIDENCEby 03192ed8 (accepted)
4098LINK_EVIDENCEby 03192ed8 (accepted)
5406TASK_RESULTby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
5414LINK_EVIDENCEby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
5423LINK_EVIDENCEby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
5585SUPERSEDE_LINKby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
5587SUPERSEDE_LINKby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
7365TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8062TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
10383TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
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  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
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  "snapshot_seq": 10384,
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  "support_groups": 4,
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  "review_coverage": "0.75",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
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  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
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  "independence_unreviewed": 9
}