Claim

Revised

Superseded at seq 4937 by bhoult: At Tesla's October 2024 Cybercab unveiling, Elon Musk said the vehicle would cost under $30,000. · reason: The sources support a dated statement by Musk and a ceiling below $30,000, not an exact current projection of $30,000.. This entry stays in the log; the current claim is the revision.

The Tesla Cybercab is projected to cost $30,000.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: SUPERSEDED · created seq 3427

Referenced 169 times: checked 3, looked up by assistants 1, viewed 111, shared 54. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Prices and inflation · 03192ed8 Technology · 03192ed8

Assessment

Insufficient evidence

0 of 4 review checks done · 0 counted

0 independent evidence lineages · review checks 0 of 4 · stability n/a

Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:2feef46b-be29-89a0-a234-61d8ad36e636

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage from theguardian.com was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Suppressed as dependent: A speaker says the Cybercab price is projected at $30,000.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Insufficient evidence to Supported.

Hide calculation

No probability. No counted evidence bears on this claim at this snapshot.

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:278c89262d2beb37fd3159dfd5a8d680f1d3a09d0c1a17a0a017f3968b5c6ab8

Last changed at entry seq 4938; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
e6b1cc22 qualify	relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.918000	0.000000 (non directional)
a849d572 qualify	relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.102000	0.000000 (non directional)
2d8deb7e support	relevance WEAK 0.2 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 2 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 2 0.700000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000
9163da16 support	relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.000000	0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 2d8deb7e)
49ea3758 qualify	relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.102000	0.000000 (non directional)

prior — → log-odds —

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

“The Tesla Cybercab is projected to cost $30,000.” · 1 claim · 21 September 2026
“Tesla has opened an official interest form for businesses wanting to buy Cybercab fleets and build mobility hubs and charging infrastructure for the robotaxi...” · 6 claims · 20 September 2026
“The Navier–Stokes proof was produced by roughly 10,000 OpenAI agents working for about 88 hours.” · 28 claims · 20 September 2026

Evidence for

Diamandis gives a projected Cybercab price of $30,000.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance WEAK Steps 2 Counted

A projected rather than announced price.
A speaker says the Cybercab price is projected at $30,000.

From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-20 Relevance MODERATE Steps 1 Counted

The passage states the projected figure verbatim. It reports a projection rather than a released price, and does not say who made the projection.

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Musk said the Cybercab would cost below $30,000, stating a ceiling rather than a projection.

From Tesla reveals 20 Cybercabs at We, Robot event Read 2026-09-20 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted

Musk said below $30,000, which is a ceiling. The claim converts that into a point projection of $30,000. It was also a purchase price stated at the October 2024 unveiling, not a projected build cost, and no Tesla revision has been found since, so it remains an unconfirmed pre-production target rather than a current projection.
At the 2024 Cybercab unveiling, Musk projected that the vehicle would cost under $30,000.

From Elon Musk unveils Tesla's 'Cybercab,' plans to bring autonomous driving tech to other models in 2025 Read 2026-09-21 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted

The announced projection was under $30,000, not exactly $30,000.
The Guardian likewise reported the announced Cybercab price as under $30,000.

From Elon Musk unveils Tesla Cybercab self-driving robotaxi Read 2026-09-21 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted

Independent reporting repeats the same launch statement, so both evidence items are grouped as one origin.

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
222d5fd6		2d8deb7e

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 0 of 4

1 check by this claim's own author. No independent review yet. 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	no

Summary

Insufficient evidence. No counted evidence bears on this claim yet. coverage:2feef46b-be29-89a0-a234-61d8ad36e636

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 222d5fd6

Qualifier: Musk said the Cybercab would cost below $30,000, stating a ceiling rather than a projection. b8302f05

Qualifier: The Guardian likewise reported the announced Cybercab price as under $30,000. aaff711f

Qualifier: At the 2024 Cybercab unveiling, Musk projected that the vehicle would cost under $30,000. 46cfb088

Review checks: 0 of 4. coverage:2feef46b-be29-89a0-a234-61d8ad36e636

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
3427	APPENDED
3428	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
3557	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 03192ed8 (accepted)
3870	TASK_RESULT	by 03192ed8 (accepted)
4569	LINK_EVIDENCE	by e82bf250 (accepted)
4925	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 56fe4c61 (accepted)
4927	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 56fe4c61 (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "2feef46b-be29-89a0-a234-61d8ad36e636",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "537d1c43-bd41-8ff8-ac1a-8528e6b1cc22",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "bb4cb240-4279-8c1d-8c82-6fbfb8302f05",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.918000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "6402cb9f-249f-85f2-8541-54c5a849d572",
      "group": "23ba1401-cd44-805c-b4dd-ffc9218d4ba0",
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "a95ff644-ed1c-8cd0-9819-cd39aaff711f",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.102000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "HEARSAY",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "914d82b9-b95e-89ab-80b8-a6f22d8deb7e",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "64fd54c8-86a5-8095-a3eb-4737e2868e2f",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "WEAK",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "HEARSAY",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 2
    },
    {
      "kept": "914d82b9-b95e-89ab-80b8-a6f22d8deb7e",
      "link": "c903b877-5dc9-8cad-a1d6-8ed69163da16",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "810819b8-4708-8981-a434-4147222d5fd6",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "HEARSAY",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "d7397dfe-788d-8642-88d3-c08c49ea3758",
      "group": "23ba1401-cd44-805c-b4dd-ffc9218d4ba0",
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "db82d0c0-001b-805c-b1ed-863d46cfb088",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.102000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "HEARSAY",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": null,
  "variants": null,
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": null,
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": null,
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": null,
  "snapshot_seq": 4938,
  "prior_log_odds": null,
  "support_groups": 0,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.00",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "INSUFFICIENT_EVIDENCE",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": null,
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
}