Galedra
Sign in Sign up

Claim

Reliance on Waze causes people to lose the ability to navigate on their own.

Type CAUSAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 1153

Referenced 266 times: checked 7, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 135, shared 124. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Technology · 03192ed8 Psychology · 03192ed8

Assessment

Leans supported

Score: 0.7855 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

4 independent evidence lineages · review checks 3 of 4 · stability LOW

Main unresolved issue: 10 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:0b6e4a84-853a-8acf-86cb-14ba063d3938

Not yet independently audited.This assessment depends heavily on modeling choices.A quoted passage from journals.plos.org, link.springer.com, and pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: A longitudinal GPS study associated greater GPS use with steeper decline in hippocampal-dependent spatial memory. weight 0.540000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage says we can literally forget how to navigate because of Waze, calling it a fact.; The excerpt says people can literally forget how to navigate because of Waze.

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted.

Hide calculation

0.7855 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Leans supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability LOW · 10 sources, 4 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:132bb71206e3a01db94b89d1ac4e5295694f670440ef984523bb834b13d36f4c

Last changed at entry seq 13948; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
2de4ebe5 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (non directional)
fc83aac8 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (non directional)
f01ffe7a support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.540000 0.540000
94b35eeb support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept b95d827d)
b95d827d support relevance WEAK 0.2 × observation HEARSAY 0.1 × interpretation 2 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 2 0.700000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000
bbc71140 support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.459000 0.459000
64a1332c qualify relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.918000 0.000000 (non directional)
780b0fcb support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.459000 0.459000
ecb51f6f support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.459000 0.459000
fbfb5574 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept b95d827d)

prior 0.35 → log-odds -0.619039 + 1.917000 (the counted weights) = 1.297961 → probability 0.7855

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.6732 to 0.8668, a spread of 0.1936.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
b248dd8eb95d827d
78de9beeb95d827d

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes2720cb20
opposing search doneyes6727f704
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyesfc83aac8, f01ffe7a, 64a1332c, 780b0fcb, ecb51f6f

Summary

Leans supported. The main support is: A longitudinal GPS study associated greater GPS use with steeper decline in hippocampal-dependent spatial memory. 68b5cd2f

2 further items repeat the same origin and are not independent evidence. b248dd8e78de9bee

Qualifier: The passage says people can forget navigation because of Waze but gives no population, timeframe, baseline, or measured frequency. 764951e2

Qualifier: The 2025 PLOS study qualifies the causal claim: GPS use was associated with worse subjective orientation and prior experiments found route-learning impairments, but this cohort found no objective cognitive impairment and greater driving mobility. 6d79c49f

Qualifier: A preregistered study of 249 participants found that GPS dependence was associated with poorer objective navigation performance, supporting the claim’s observed relationship; however, the authors explicitly say the correlational design cannot establish that reliance causes people to lose navigation ability, and it studied GPS generally rather than Waze specifically. 51172766

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 6727f704

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
1153APPENDED
1154ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
1217LINK_EVIDENCEby 03192ed8 (accepted)
6650TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8286TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
9036TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
9182LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
12274LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
12511LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
12859LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
13148LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
13947LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "0b6e4a84-853a-8acf-86cb-14ba063d3938",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "3c1b8940-7611-8cfc-be61-fe8e2de4ebe5",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "f4eba592-d23d-88b7-bd24-8a40764951e2",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "3d4727ca-e610-8518-b92d-232cfc83aac8",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "143bcacc-6d5e-8eeb-bc69-961b6d79c49f",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "4bf4fd88-d4ca-826f-aa96-9f45f01ffe7a",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "a98f54e1-8c19-8106-90a8-36a168b5cd2f",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.540000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.540000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "9ed73fc4-a68d-865b-a93e-aef1b95d827d",
      "link": "68371fa7-b248-8aba-ae11-721e94b35eeb",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "10afea66-8af4-80bd-9163-a369b248dd8e",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "9ed73fc4-a68d-865b-a93e-aef1b95d827d",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "379cec2c-3335-8550-9fac-c056748090a0",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "WEAK",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "HEARSAY",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 2
    },
    {
      "link": "bc20efb5-ea55-820c-ae66-e6e6bbc71140",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "3d53ef55-afbd-8bc1-b39b-78d2e2d9f044",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.459000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.459000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "c6597291-a5fd-88e3-927a-990864a1332c",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "eecd158e-8b7f-8c8d-b05d-099151172766",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.918000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "d936ca22-91bc-8218-933e-c6c0780b0fcb",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "08ad6b1b-9d4e-8bb0-8ce0-dcbd1b34b40e",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.459000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "MEASUREMENT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.459000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "f2e661e4-f83a-8ca7-8ad6-b106ecb51f6f",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "8b64f08a-7ee4-8515-991b-8d8db87d298b",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.459000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.459000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "kept": "9ed73fc4-a68d-865b-a93e-aef1b95d827d",
      "link": "fa0e5bdb-b025-81d3-8d26-c2d6fbfb5574",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "ae35e946-c838-8942-819c-674378de9bee",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.35",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1936",
    "permissive": "0.8668",
    "conservative": "0.6732"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "LOW",
  "claim_type": "CAUSAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.7855",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.917000",
  "snapshot_seq": 13948,
  "prior_log_odds": "-0.619039",
  "support_groups": 4,
  "model_dependent": true,
  "review_coverage": "0.75",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "LEANS_SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0bc48-36cc-7ad2-9354-7fdd2720cb20"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0bc48-36ba-7894-8c1b-60106727f704"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "3d4727ca-e610-8518-b92d-232cfc83aac8",
        "4bf4fd88-d4ca-826f-aa96-9f45f01ffe7a",
        "c6597291-a5fd-88e3-927a-990864a1332c",
        "d936ca22-91bc-8218-933e-c6c0780b0fcb",
        "f2e661e4-f83a-8ca7-8ad6-b106ecb51f6f"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.297961",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 10
}